For anyone new - This is basically just a quick rundown of performance over the past week. In order to get everything covered in a timely fashion I start the week on a Saturday and end it on a Friday.
Basically yesterdays bets are the start of next Sundays email.
I prefer to be honest and call a spade a spade - If I think something is good and worth watching then its definitely worth a look.
FREE STUFF
Gap Selections:
"The model is built to find races where the numbers clearly point to one horse being much stronger or weaker than the rest.
If a horse looks weak compared to its rivals but still short in the
betting → it becomes a Lay bet (we bet against it).
If a horse looks much stronger than the rest and at a fair price → it becomes a Win bet (we back it).
If the gap between horses isn’t clear, the model simply skips the race."
NOTE: There are 3 variations of the lays, this is to experiment and gather data with
different gaps to rivals. Neither one nor the other is deemed better.
Gap 7 Lays:
The plan was to wait until Feb and make a decision, but I got curious and dived into the data. 900+ handicap races running at a loss is plenty of data to make an informed decision, those have now been removed going forward and should steady the ship all round.
It leaves us with
around 80-90 lays per month, +44 from 264 lays. Compared with the below
Gap 10 Lays:
With handicaps removed gap 10 looks a very nice middle ground.
40-50 lays per month, +39 from 141 lays in a little over 3 months. Results below include previous handicaps
Gap 12 Lays:
Currently into the red and the
reason I dived into the data, I felt it should be a lot steadier than what it has been.
If we remove the handicaps it would leave 74 lays in 3 months with a total +26, the strike rate goes up to 85% and it looks steady.
Hopefully we can have a good run on all 3 now until end of Feb.
Gap win bets:
6 selections this week and a gain of +6
Gap wins look pretty neat and
tidy!
All 4 of the above go to my Free Telegram channel & xCloudBot. Atuomate them directly to your betfair hands free every single day. Just £1 for the first 14 days which renews at £35 per month.
Elite Tips
November might as well be in the bin already at -20, and so goes the hope of doing anything with the service any time soon. Needs to get going and keep going.
NEW TRIAL - GONE DUTCH
I was following along with his trial elsewhere previously but the volume was much higher, he's gone back to the drawing board and really drilling down into what worked and didn't. The result of that is 14 winning races out of 16.
So we've now seen around a week of Garys dutching bets and im already getting messages asking if theres any today or are they
automated yet - always a good sign!
Now that i've figured out how to add them to my bot correctly in order to dutch them I have 6 winning races and 2 losing races, a little over 1 unit profit staking to lose £50 per race.
These look super interesting and i'll get them added to the bot for people this week.
Now let's move onto the Premium Services offered by PuntHub.
CH Racing -Selections are sent out the evening before racing — giving you plenty of time to get on at good prices. This isn’t one of those “three bets a day” guesswork services… the focus here is purely on value, not volume.
At just £29 per month, selections are delivered via email and Telegram, keeping things simple and transparent.
A difficult week for Chris managing just a 10/1 place
at Cheltenham, meaning 10 points dropped this week. At the odds Chris bets just a couple of winners would see things turn, fingers crossed for next week.
Lay of the Day - Two lays sent daily via email/telegram, fully automated via xCloudBot
The week starts and ends with a loser to keep us just the wrong side of 0 for the month. After a very tough October I was hopeful November would be straight back to business.. it's proving a hard nut to crack at the moment, but we
aren't losing, which is as good as winning in the short term.
I want to gert the average monthly profit to around +10 a month, currently +4 with a massive losing month in there, I think its achievable by June 26 no problem.
These come included FREE with a full xcloudbot membership or you can get them via email & Telegram for £25 per month HERE (Quarterly discount upon request).
Betty Ai Lays - A fully autmated Lay system, completely data driven and using Ai to find selections.
For the naysayers, good luck to you, I'm not here for short term gains, this is a long term project.
9 lays in November without a loss - the annoying part is
I missed one at Dundalk on Friday as the code didn't run properly. But 9/9 is a good start.
The Football Bot - our very own football automation software that works in the same way & layout as xCloudBot.
PuntHub Lays
Only two lays this week, a winner and a loser. November is in profit but only 5 lays so far.
Lay The Draw
A crap start to the week but ended with 16 straight wins for a profitale week, unfortunately still work to do for November sitting -4.33
Back The Draw
Games that remain tied or even goalless until after the 90 min mark, only to end 1-0, are beyond frustrating - but that's football, sometimes they go against us and sometimes we get a last ditch
equaliser.
Noticing a trend that a lot of games tend to be tied at HT, worth trading around it, backing HT draw doesn't appear profitable according to testing.
11 bets last weekend but only 2 draws found (Servette scoring late didn't help). Yet to get going since I decided to sell the draws standalone, less than 1 lost this month though, time to turn that around after the
international break.
