THE BETTING STRATEGY

Year to date: +56.90 points

Sunday 07 November 2021

Wonderful World Won 3.63 and Calling the Wind Placed 3.4 yesterday. Keep Moving finished last of the six runners whilst Glenartney, pretty much as I suggested, clearly needs further, running on to finish a nevder nearer 6^th. That was better than Fresh who finished last of the eighteen runners. Dakota Gold led but not for the first time ran out of steam inside the final furlong whilst in that same race Makanah ran a great race to finish 6^th at a huge price.

PROFIT OF 0.41 pointS

All Selections are settled to Betfair SP

12.30 Sandown  

Count Meribel                             0.5 points ew  

Champagne Court                    1 point win

1.35 Sandown

Bombs Away                               1 point win

Analysis

12.30 Sandown

As a course and distance winner I quite like the look of Champagne Court. He has won a hurdle race and two chases from 2m to 2m 4f on good to soft and soft ground, but although his last win was over two years ago he still seems to hold his ability. He was beaten 3l by Haddex Des Obeaux when second of 10 at 7-2 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Fontwell over 2m 3f (soft) last month. That was a decent enough run and should have blown away any cobwebs.

In the same race and at bigger odds I wouldn’t discount Count Meribel. He is a winner of three hurdle races and two chases from 2m 3f to 2m 6f on ground varying from good to soft, but his last win was over three years ago. That doesn’t particularly put me off because sometimes horses can go this long without winning whilst still retaining their ability. In truth, he was well beaten at 6-1 when last of 6 on his latest outing in a chase at Newton Abbot over 2m 5f (good) in April. He is clearly the second string of trainer Nigel Twiston-Davis in this race but I feel he is worth a little bet.

1.35 Sandown

It’s possible that this Ollie Murphy trained selection is a lot better than his one race has shown, hence his fairly shortish price. Bombs Away was beaten 3/4l by I Hope Star when second of 9 at 15-8fav on his racecourse debut at Southwell over 2m (good) in May. With a summer under his belt, I expect him to come back a lot stronger and am expecting a bold showing from this five-year-old.

Statistics

2021

All the figures above are based on Betfair Starting Price.