THE BETTING STRATEGY

Year to date: +55.71 points

Tuesday 09 November 2021

IK Brunel was well supported in the betting yesterday but could only manage 3^rd.  A mistake two out didn’t help his cause but I’m pretty certain there’s a race to be won with him.

LOSS OF 1.00 pointS

All Selections are settled to Betfair SP

1.15 Fairyhouse

Low Lie The Fields                    1 point win

4.55 Newcastle

Azure Blue                                   3 points win

Analysis

1.15 Fairyhouse

This is the first attempt for Low Lie The Fields over fences but he does appeal on the best of his hurdling form and he is certain to have been well schooled by Henry De Bromhead. He has two handicap hurdle victories in his CVand was last seen finishing runner-up in the 25-runner Adare Manor Opportunity Final Handicap Hurdle at Punchestown in April.

Brawler is the most experienced of these but has no wins to his name after eight attempts and if our selection puts in a clear round of jumping he should be too good for these.

4.55 Newcastle

We have backed Azure Blue on her last two attempts when she finished 2^nd both times. She's certainly been threatening to win and hopefully, she’ll manage it this evening. The two-year-old was last seen finishing second at Ayr in September and she can build on that performance returning from a short break. The only slight concern I have is the drop back to six furlongs but she’s a speedy enough filly and should be fine over this shorter distance.

Statistics

2021

All the figures above are based on Betfair Starting Price.

Regards

Karl