THE BETTING STRATEGY

Year to date: +58.64 points

Saturday 11 December 2021

None of our selections gave us a return yesterday. Barrowdale came 2^nd but was well beaten, Washington, Goobinato and Ask Dillon all came 3^rd.

Another busy Saturday for us today.

LOSS OF 8.00 pointS

All Selections are settled to Betfair SP

12.40 Cheltenham

Torn and Frayed                        2 points win

1.15 Cheltenham

Frero Banbou                              3 points win

Editeur Du Gite                          1 point win

1.50 Cheltenham

Beakstown                                   1 point win

Topofthecotswolds                  1 point ew

2.05 Doncaster

Sonigino                                       1 point win

2.20 Newcastle

Nicholas T                                    2 points win

2.40 Doncaster

Porticello                                      1 point win

Analysis

12.40 Cheltenham

A race that Torn and Frayed could well win. He was a selection for us when 2^nd at Ascot last time out and he really should have won that day but kept jumping left. He has the red hot favourite, My Drogo, to beat but you never know what might happen.

1.15 Cheltenham

This race is surely between the first two in the betting and my preference is for Frero Banbou. He has disappointed a little in two previous runs for us but should be primed to take this for a stable that is absolutely flying at the moment. It’s worth having a saver on Editeur Du Gite though because he definitely has the ability to take this should Frero disappoint. He was very impressive here last month and could well defy a 7lb penalty.

1.50 Cheltenham

Topofthecotswolds is a massive price, mainly because he unseated his rider early doors in his last race in November, but I think he is a decent horse and should not be ruled out. Beakstown on the other hand is in here on a low weight and can build on his 3^rd at Aintree last month. He will need to jump better but no one is better at preparing a horse than Dan Skelton.

2.05 Doncaster

Having been picked up from France by Paul Nicholls I thought Sonigino did well on his British debut at Haydock last month when finishing third at Haydock last month and that experience should stand him in good stead here.

2.20 Newcastle

Nicholas T is stepped up in trip considerably here and is running over a course and distance now that he has previously been successful at and I’m expecting a much better showing from him today. He’ll probably either win or just finish well beaten so we’ll keep our fingers crossed that trainer Jim Goldie has him well primed for this.

2.40 Doncaster

Porticello is unbeaten but puts those credentials on the line here today. He needs to be sharper and aware as to what's going on around him because he’s been a bit novicey in those two runs but on form e must have a decent chance.

Statistics

2021

All the figures above are based on Betfair Starting Price.

Regards

Karl