THE BETTING STRATEGY

Year to date: +105.05 points

Thursday 16 December 2021

Champagne Court Won 9.2 to continue our good run yesterday. He took the lead approaching the last and ran on well on the flat. Five selections for us today.

PROFIT OF 16.08 pointS

All Selections are settled to Betfair SP

12.50 Uttoxeter

Glebe Road                                  0.5 points ew

1.45 Ascot

Red Rookie                                 1 point win  

2.35 Uttoxeter

Manintheshadows                    0.5 points ew (4 places)

3.30 Ascot

Authorised Speed                    1 point Win

Top Dog                                        1 point win

Analysis

12.50 Uttoxeter

Picked up by Charlie Longsdon, Glebe Road finished only seventh of 12 in a Tipperary bumper (19.5f) on NH debut for Patrick Eugene Turley in March, but he has since landed a point to point race and he cannot be ruled out now he is going hurdling for his new trainer.

1.45 Ascot

Red Rookie showed useful form when winning a brace of bumpers and winning a novice at Sandown from 3 runs over hurdles last season. He showed big improvement when a close second at Chepstow on his chase debut when second at Chepstow although I thought he allowed the winner too much rope and although closing all the way to the line just couldn't get there. Given a more positive ride he can make amends.

2.35 Uttoxeter

Jonjo O’Neil gives a chasing debut to Manintheshadows and there’s every reason to feel confident about his chances. He has improved this season, placed at Uttoxeter and Ffos Las either side of his first hurdles success at Worcester (23f, soft). He wasn’t so good tried in this headgear final start at Lingfield, but he’s always been a chaser in the making and I’m hoping he can get competitive here.

3.30 Ascot

I’m going double handed in this race because although I have a strong fancy for Top Dog I also think that Authorised Speed can ,make his mark here. The latter was well fancied before a luckless defeat at Market Rasen 7 months ago, finishing with running left after being repeatedly short of room. He's open to significant improvement on his return and I would not be surprised if he won this. He has to beat Top Dog though. He made a promising debut when second at Fairyhouse (for Colm Murphy) and backed it up when filling the same position at Cheltenham on his debut for Emma Lavelle. He threw away his chance that day by hanging badly late on but if that problem has been resolved then he is the one to beat.

Statistics

2021

All the figures above are based on Betfair Starting Price.

Regards

Karl