THE BETTING STRATEGY

Year to date: +91.77 points

Monday 27 December 2021

Although Twotwothree fell yesterday he was never going to win and Danny Kirwan fared little better finishing a well beaten 4^th. Riviere D’etal could only manage 2^nd and Poet’s corner ran better than last time but could only manage 6^th.

LOSS OF 8.00 pointS

All Selections are settled to Betfair SP

1.40 Chepstow

Porticello                       2 points win

2.50 Chepstow

Ramses De Teillee      1 point ew

Achille                             0.5 points ew

2.55 Leopardstown

Coko Beach                   1 point ew

3.25 Chepstow

Brinkley                          1 point win

Analysis

1.40 Chepstow

I was a bit disappointed when Porticello was beaten at Doncaster when a selection for us because his form looked excellent. It’s crunch time today. Ifhe’s as good as I think he is he’ll need to win this.

2.50 Chepstow

The Welsh National and I’ll go with two against the field here. First up is Ramsees De Teillee. He was second to Elegant Escape in this in 2018. Latest Haydock fourth shows he's still capable of smart form. Goes well on testing ground. He has first-time cheekpieces added to usual tongue strap. I think he has a great each way chance. The one who could really do well here is Achille. The Venetia Williams horse shaped likely a well-handicapped horse for much of way and possibly just needed run after 9 months off when 23 lengths fifth of 21 in Becher at Aintree. Should be spot on now and I fancy a really big run.

2.55 Leopardstown

Coko Beach ran a decent enough race at Fairyhouse last time out and is far too big a here and could go really close.

3.25 Chepstow

Brinkley was a decent hurdler and took that form to chasing when opening his account in a novice event at Huntingdon. On a fair mark for his handicap debut and I’m expecting him to win.

Statistics

2021

All the figures above are based on Betfair Starting Price.

Regards

Karl