THE BETTING STRATEGY

Year to date: +95.00 points

Tuesday 28 December 2021

We made a small profit yesterday courtesy of Porticello Won 4.6 and Achille Placed 4.43. Of the others Ramses  De Teillee pulled up after having led for a long way, Coko Beach also pulled up as was Brinkley, who is much better than he showed and I suspect there must have been something wrong with him. Porticello incidentally is a seriously good hurdler and there are more races waiting for him. He won this by 8.5 lengths.

A couple for us today.

PROFIT OF 3.23 pointS

All Selections are settled to Betfair SP

1.10 Leopardstown

Gentlemansgame       0.5 points ew

3.02 Catterick

West Lawn                    0.5 points ew

Analysis

1.10 Leopardstown

There is an old adage that top-class horses won’t be stopped by weight and that is something I have always subscribed too. At the top of the handicap here is the 5-year-old Gentlemansgame who has to be respected having been runner-up in two Grade 1 events last season. He has to give away a lot of weight on his return but is a classy performer and with six places up or grabs, he must have a great chance of at least finishing in one of those positions. It’s his first run for 244 days but I doubt that fitness will be a problem.

3.02 Catterick

Although West Lawn was well beaten on her racecourse debut (sixth of ten) in a bumper there is every reason to think that this mares hurdle race will be well suited to her. She will appreciate the soft conditions and sometimes the addition of hurdles can make a big difference to a horse's performance. It’s a bit of a gamble but at the prices, she is worth a little investment. There are four places available as well, which helps.

Statistics

2021

All the figures above are based on Betfair Starting Price.

Regards

Karl