THE BETTING STRATEGY

Year to date: +93.00 points

Wednesday 29 December 2021

Gentlemansgame was probably lacking in fitness yesterday as he faded late on after being prominent for most of the race. We’ll get our money back in due course. West Lawn was a bit of a hopeful punt and so it proved but he did make some progress late on to finish a well beaten 5^th and it would be interesting to see him over further.

Quite a busy day for us today!

LOSS OF 2.00 pointS

All Selections are settled to Betfair SP

12.15 Newbury

Megan                                           3 points win

12.42 Kelso

Kaizer                                            2 points win   

2.35 Newbury

Gericault Roque                        2 points win

3.05 Newbury

Go Dante                                      1 point win

3.35 Newbury

Flash Collonges                          2 points win

Analysis

12.15 Newbury

On the pick of her best form, you would have to expect Megan to win this. The problem is that in her last race at Fakenham when dropped in class and backed down to odds on, she was a well beaten 4^th of 5.  If you forget that performance and there could be any number of reasons for it then she must have a great chance here.

12.42 Kelso

A selection for us last time out at Musselburgh, Kaizer was running really well until coming to grief two out. Cheekpieces are applied today, presumably to make him concentrate a bit more and he has an obvious chance.

2.35 Newbury

After a decent run first time out over fences, Gericault Roque improved in his next race when 2^nd at Chepstow and assuming he comes on again for that performance he must hold every chance here.

3.05 Newbury

Go Dante is way to big a price to go unbacked here. A winner of a bumper and a hurdle the selection was beaten into 2^nd place by Tweed Skirt at Ascot in only his third outing. Now upped in trip, Ollie Murphy’s horse can take this at a decent price.

3.35 Newbury

Another who has had limited experience over fences is Flash Collonges and the Paul Nicholls inmate has a decent chance of getting off the mark here. He is certain to improve and I think this race is ideal for him.

Statistics

2021

All the figures above are based on Betfair Starting Price.

Regards

Karl