THE BETTING STRATEGY

Year to date: -5.98 points

Saturday 15 January 2022

Galileo Silver pulled up yesterday whilst Dream In The Park was a non-runner.

The usual busy Saturday for us today.

LOSS OF 1.00 point

All Selections are settled to Betfair SP

2.20 Lingfield

Top Breeze                                   1 point ew

2.40 Kempton

Cabot Cliffs                                  0.5 points ew

3.00 Warwick

Gericault Roque                         3 points win

Achille                                            1 point ew

3.15 Kempton

Smarty Wild                                1 point win

3.23 Wetherby

Frimeur De Lancray                 1 point win

3.50 Kempton

Royaume Uni                              1 point win

Analysis

2.20 Lingfield

 I know that Richard Hughes feels Top Breeze is better than he seems to show on course and that he is expecting him to win in due course. Although on form he wouldn’t be good enough here I think it would only take minimal improvement for him to get involved. We’ll see!

2.40 Kempton

Successful 3 times last Season, Cabot Cliffs has posted two solid efforts to make the frame in 2m handicaps at Chepstow and Ascot this winter. On that form and also 1lb lower in the handicap he can get involved in the finish here.

3.00 Warwick

Gericault Roque is a dual hurdles winner who has taken very well to chasing, improving again when second at Newbury 17 days ago, pulling clear with another progressive sort. Stepped up in trip he should be capable of taking this. One of the dangers is Achille who we backed last time out when 4^th in the Welsh National and dropped 3lbs very much comes into the equation here.

3.15 Kempton

Smarty Wild has been a selection on three occasions for us this season and not quite been good enough each time. Last time out at Ludlow I thought this trip really stretched his stamina, but if he stays it today on an easier track then he must have a great chance

3.23 Wetherby

If Frimeur De Lancray has got over a heavy fall in his last race at Haydock then he must have a de cent chance jhere. He was a fairly useful hurdles winner who matched that level of form over fences when second in 23f handicap at Newcastle. He was running well before that Haydock fall.

3.50 Kempton 

Royaume Uni was an easy winner of 2m Plumpton handicap in October and at least matched that form when third of 12 at Cheltenham (16.8f, good) earlier this month. A reproduction of that form puts him right in the mix here.