THE BETTING STRATEGY

Year to date: -16.98 points

Sunday 16 January 2022

A really poor day yesterday and no excuses. A couple more seconds though to add to the month's tally. Gericault Rocque ran a decent race but was no match for the winner, Éclair Surf, who ran a great race. If Smarty Wild had jumped the last fence better he would probably have won but he made a bad mistake and lost all momentum.

On to today with a rather speculative one that I hope will go well plus one more selection.

LOSS OF 11.00 pointS

All Selections are settled to Betfair SP

2.10 Kelso

West Lawn                                   0.5 points ew

2.40 Kelso

Alberts Back                                2 points win

Analysis

2.10 Kelso

You have to have a lot of faith to back a horse that is trading around 100/1 but West Lawn does have a decent pedigree although she looked short of pace in a 2m bumper here 8 months ago. She was never on terms switched to hurdling last time out at Catterick and finished 5^th without ever really being put into the race. I’m hoping that after that nice, quiet introduction she might make an effort here and outrun her odds.

2.40 Kelso

Alberts Back was a decisive winner of handicap hurdles at Wetherby and Haydock last season. He might well have still needed his second run back last month at Aintree (pulled up behind Elvis Mail) and is on a good mark here and I’m hoping he gets really competitive.