THE BETTING STRATEGY

Year to date: -18.89 points

Wednesday 19 January 2022

Keep Moving was again disappointing yesterday but Kaizer ran a much better race to Place at 3.33. A tiny loss on the day!

It’s a busy day for us today so let’s hope for some overdue success.

LOSS OF 0.07 pointS

All Selections are settled to Betfair SP

1.50 Newbury

Goa Lil                             1 point win

2.00 Plumpton

Dream In The Park     1 point win

3.00 Newbury

Mellow Ben                   1 point win

Young Wolf                   0.5 points ew

3.30 Newbury

Megan                             1 point win

4.00 Newbury

Authorised Speed      2 points win

Analysis

1.50 Newbury

The Nigel Twiston-Davies trained Goa Lil has been in good form in handicaps, both in this sphere and over hurdles and his jumping has been getting better and better over fences the last twice. He’s back in  novice company again here though and although a couple of his rivals could be useful, I’m taking them to help make a decent price for our selection.

2.00 Plumpton

Out of a bumper/chase winner, runner-up in an Irish point, Dream In The Park filled the same position in both starts in bumpers during the autumn. That is a good platform to build on now that he goes hurdling.

3.00 Newbury

Although he arrives here on a lengthy losing run, Mellow Ben has a decent chance today. Trainer Chris Gordon has been really patient with him and his last chase run in June was encouraging. He was too free over hurdles at Kempton a couple of months ago on his only outing since then, which may well have been a prep for this and he can't be dismissed from what is a handy mark on his best form. A possible danger is Jonjo O’Neills Young Wolf who we have backed before. He seems totally out of sorts at the moment but I’m wary of him bouncing back from a yard that can plot a gamble and he’s worth a little investment.

3.30 Newbury

We’ve backed Megan three times already this season and last time out finished 3^rd, which was not a disgrace. She comes here with an obvious chance but I just worry that she keeps flattering to deceive but nevertheless she does possess the ability to win this.

4.00 Newbury

This is an excellent opportunity for Authorised Speed to open his account. He was an excellent 2^nd to Henri the Second at Ascot last month and unless there’s anything special in here that we don’t know about then the Gary Moore gelding can take this.