THE BETTING
STRATEGY
Year to date: +56.89 points
Saturday 13 November 2021
I was disappointed with Pivoine yesterday as I expected better than 4th. Nicholas T came second last. Both horses are capable though
and will win again in due course. As to what was going on with First Officer, your guess is as good as mine. He drifted in the market, never got involved and was well beaten. He is much better than that as I’m sure time will tell.
Quite a busy Saturday as usual, though not as hectic as some we’ve had recently.
LOSS OF 3.00 pointS
All Selections are settled to Betfair SP
1.20 Lingfield
Indeed 1.5 points ew
2.15 Cheltenham
Midnight Shadow 0.5 points ew (6 places)
Galahad Quest 0.5 points ew (six places)
3.25 Cheltenham
Gowel Road 1 point win
3.55 Cheltenham
Whisky Express 1 point win
Analysis
1.20 Lingfield
After finishing 6th in a big field handicap at York in August, Indeed very much took my eye but he has been well below that level of form in two subsequent outings when we backed him. He has a lot to prove here but on his best form would have a decent
chance.
2.15 Cheltenham
Sue Smith will be expecting a big run from Midnight Shadow and so am I. I know it’s a tough race but he is a really decent horse. He was 3rd behind Allmankind in last months Old Roan chase and he will have come on for that. He’s a course and distance
winner and I believe he has a great chance of winning and will be disappointed if he doesn’t make the places.
Galahad Quest has had a prep race for this, finishing 3rd at Wetherby last month. He is not without ability and trainer Nick Williams is sure to have him spot on. He’ll definitely win
races this season but whether it will be this ultra competitive race I’m not sure but with six places available he has to be worth a small bet.
3.25 Cheltenham
Gowel Road finished 6th at Chepstow last month but there is every reason to suspect that was a prep run for this. I’ve always thought he has a lot of potential and the step up in trip here
will suit him.
3.55 Cheltenham
Harry Fry has only run Whisky Express once and that was a bumper at Taunton that he won pretty encouragingly. I’m surprised he’s trading as big as he is because I suspect he’s quite decent and I’m optimistic he can win this before going on to better things.
Statistics
2021
December
|
|
June
|
-40.08
|
November
|
-7.34
|
May
|
+13.98
|
October
|
+14.94
|
April
|
-32.46
|
September
|
+11.10
|
March
|
+42.68
|
August
|
+13.08
|
February
|
+47.82
|
July
|
-8.99
|
January
|
+0.22
|
All the figures above are based on Betfair Starting
Price.
Regards
Karl