📍FAKENHAM
• 12.10 - TERRESITA 12/1 (0.5pt)
The favourite has every right to be winning this race for an in form team but the odds aren’t very appealing for one with seconditis and although she is the clear form pick, could be vulnerable to any of these unexposed sorts - I’m happy to let Auditoria oblige without backing but if you like a shorty, take a point @Evens.
It’s Lucy Wadhams debutante that catches my eye.. a stable that does particulary well here with a 31% SR in the last 5 years! Boost that up to 43% when partnering with top course jockey Bryony Frost and this ‘Power Combo’ pair has to be of interest today.
The filly has quite a smart jumping pedigree too and could be worth a small investment 1st time out.
• 12.40 - BILL AND BARN 2/1 (1pt)
Trainer Milton Harris continues to fire out the winners with 6 landing from 17 in the last 14 days, and he looks to have a good chance to add to that tally here.
This horse has been resurgent since being picked up by the red hot trainer with form figures of 2,3,1 for this yard. Seemed to have been found the ideal sort of trip when staying on strongly to win over 3m1f at Plumpton and although gets a 4lb rise for that medal, is still extremely well handicapped on old form.
With Kevin Brogan retaining the ride I’d hope for a similar effort here and with the current market leader having to prove his stamina over this distance, Its easy to imagine our lad could being staying on strongest once again.
———————————————————
📍 AYR
• 1.05 - FLOOD DEFENCE 11/2 (1pt x EW)
Ian Jardines runner was unlucky loser last time out over course and distance, having been travelling far the best with a clear lead approaching the last, he got the final flight all wrong and gave the race away when eventually headed in the final 100yds.
I Napped him that day (ouch) and having only been nudged up 2lb I think is great value here and if putting in something like his best, Id be disappointed if he didn’t take up some place money at the very least.
• 2.50 ANIMORE 7/4 NAP (2pt)
With a fitness edge on most of her main form rivals I can see this mare playing pied piper and stringing them all out from the front.
A swift and speedy front runner Jardines girl has form figures of 3,2,1,2 since being sent chasing and her latest run, over course and distance, was a strong effort going down by half a length to the well handicapped Dorking Boy.
Interesting to see the yard reach for cheekpieces, I can only see that as a sign of intent and at these weights I think is definitely the one to be on.
It’ll be catch me if you can from the word go..
———————————————————
📍 LINGFIELD
• HOUKA D’OUDAIRIES 6/4 (1pt)
This nice filly was picked up by the Moore yard having won 2 decent bumpers over in France and made a very pleasing stable/hurdle debut at Huntingdon when chasing home the potentially smart Trapista.
The times of that race read pretty well for the grade and she was 10 lengths clear of the rest of the field that day. With plenty of scope she’s open to any amount of improvement at this stage and at these weights I think is clear pick of the field.
Moore has 2 in the race but this one is the obvious main on jockey bookings.
• 2.05 - ZHIGHULI 3/1 (1pt)
The comments would have you think this one was lucky to win over course and distance last time out having been left in the lead due to a last flight departure, however that doesn’t tell the whole story.
It was the Moore horse seemed to be travelling ominously well approaching 3 out and was pushed into a share of the lead.. a major blunder 2 out ensured he lost 2 lengths to the eventual faller and once ridden Zhiguli responded well to clear home by over 10 lengths, suggesting he would’ve had plenty of leg for a battle had the 2 horses both got over those last fences.
For all that this does look an open and tricky contest, Just a 2lb rise for that “lucky” win looks generous.
————————————————————
⚠️ Better Odds / Extra Places may be available.
🧨 TUESDAY TREBLE! (1pt) - 4/1’ish.
🐴 AUDITORIUM @ 12.10 FAKENHAM
🐴 BILL BAXTER @ 1.40 AYR
🐴 KYNTARA @ 3.15 LINGFIELD