THE BETTING STRATEGY

Year to date: +63.28 points

Friday 19 November 2021

No selections yesterday and nothing to report. Today we have four selections but keep an eye on Go Dante in the 1.30 Ascot. He’s on my list to follow but is such a prohibitive price I wouldn’t insult your intelligence by giving him as a bet today.

PROFIT OF 0.00 pointS

All Selections are settled to Betfair SP

12.20 Ascot

Doctor Ken                                                 1 point win

12.55 Ascot 

Torn And Frayed                                      1 point win

2.05 Ascot

Smarty Wild                                              2 points win

2.40 Ascot

Highway One O Two                             1 point win

Analysis

12.20 Ascot

Having caught the eye when 3^rd at Aintree on his hurdles debut. I’m fully expecting Doctor Ken to win this. With the Olly Murphy stable in terrific form, improvement is expected from the son of Doctor Dino as he looks to fend off the challenge of Kincardine, who was an impressive bumper winner at Southwell in May. Pull Again Green is another who made a favourable impression on his debut for new connections when scoring at Uttoxeter last month, while Ailes D'amour is not to be underestimated either. Our selection was off the mark at the third attempt in 9-runner bumper at Market Rasen (16.6f, good) last season and on the evidence of that last run he will be hard to beat here.

12.55 Ascot

A dual hurdler winner last season, Torn And Frayed made a promising start over fences when third of 5 in 20f handicap at Cheltenham 28 days ago. That form is working out well, so he rates a serious player here. It’s just a pity such a small field doesn’t help his price.

2.05 Ascot

We backed Smarty Wild when he was 5^th at Kempton a couple of weeks ago but he was only beaten 5 lengths that day and should have come on for the experience. He was a decent enough hurdler but Phillip Hobbs has always thought he would be a better chaser. If he doesn’t get his head in front here it won’t be long before he does.

2.40 Ascot

 Trainer Chris Gordon will be hoping for abetter performance from Highway One O Two than his previous attempt over this course and distance last month when the selection finished 5^th, 8 lengths behind the winner, Soaring Glory. He has won three hurdle races at 2m on ground varying from good to soft to heavy. He has the ability and hopefully, he will show that today.

Statistics

2021

All the figures above are based on Betfair Starting Price.

Regards

Karl