🐎 SATURDAY 20/11 VIP PICKS! (12pts)
📍ASCOT
• 12.55 - JEREMY PASS 11/8 (1pt) : This looks a match between the top 2 and I just about favour Bryony’s mount with a 5lb weight pull. Showed up well on chase debut last time and with this also being 2nd run after a wind op, I can see plenty of improvement forthcoming.
• 2.05 - MASTER TOMMYTUCKER 9/2 (1pt) :
A very hot renewal this but I can’t help but see value in Nichols horse who was only 2 lengths behind Drasher at Ascot having not had a clear shot. Being the only one in the field to have completed a prep run, could have a fitness edge on the fav and if Defi or LostInTranslation aren’t turning up 100% fit, I think we’ll pick up the spoils.
• 3.15 - MONSIEUR LECOQ 6/1 (0.5pt x EW) :
A cracking race this. Jane Williams yard are going well and she’s doing mileage today, 200+miles with this one and even further with one at Haydock. She strikes at nearly 20% when going this far and I think has a chance to see some returns for efforts here.
The gelding was just caught on the line by Amoola Gold last time out over CD, enhancing his course record to 2,2,2.
He’s bottom weight today and I think the quicker ground may be in his favour. This does look hot and both Before Midnight and Sky Pirate look sure to go well so we’ve gone half stake.
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📍HAYDOCK
• 12.40 - AMATEUR 11/2 (1pt x EW) :
A quality marathon and if tuned up on his return, I think John Flints charge has cast iron claims to add another long distance win to his tally.
Closed out last season with strong win over 3m4f and although lack a recent run, if showing anything like his best, I’d disappointed if we didn’t see some place money at the very least.
Plenty of these have stamina to prove and this lad certainly won’t be short of that..
• 1.25 - TOMMYS OSCAR 7/2 (1pt) :
I really battled not to back Harry Fry’s runner here (Our Suprise) after his eye catching run last, I’ll kick myself if that one wins however, I have reasons. While that run was promising, there were plenty of mistakes in the jumping department too and although a hood may help the favourite settle, I think there’s too many doubts..
Ann Hamiltons horse on the other hand has been a model of consistency and hurdles with absolute fluency. Having travelled like the best horse on seasonal return over 2m4f, just didn’t have the legs to pick up the leader in the closing stages.
Drop back to this trip looks ideal and I think he gets back to winning ways today.
He had Calico 6lengths behind in the Scottish champion hurdle back in April and Christopher Wood 4 lengths back when winning at Kelso in March though that one has had a wind op since and could get closer today.
• 2.25 - FLIGHT DECK 7/1 (1pt x EW)
& STONEY MOUNTAIN 14/1 (0.5pt x EW)
A top quality stayers handicap this (Grade 3) and very hard to discount most of these. From a shortlist of 5/6 I managed to narrow down to these 2.
Flight deck is now 3 for 4 in handicaps and looks to be on an upward trajectory. Recent 3m received a timely form boost yesterday and while this race will be his toughest task to date, he looks well up to it on the figures. Jonjo does well at Haydock and strikes at over 30% when Junior takes the ride here.
Stoney Mountain won this race back in 2019 for Henry Daly and he returned right back to his best for his new yard when winning a Pertemps qualifier at Newbury a few weeks ago. (Didtheyleaveyououtto was half a length behind in 2nd, tough to leave that one out calculations today tbh)
Worth noting Jamie Snowden has a fire 38% SR at this track.
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📍LINGFIELD
• 1.10 - DOCUMENTING 11/8 (1pt) :
This looks a good contest and while Lord of the Lodge isn’t dismissed lightly, it’s Ryan Moore’s mount who arrives in golden form and has an incredible CD record to bring along - 141132 with his latest 2nd place effort looks good, having chased home breeders cup winner Modern News and I think he’s a worthy favourite here.
• 2.20 - AMIRAT ALWAD 3/1 NAP (2pt) :
Richard Hughes horse went into the tracker after an very eye catching debut effort at this course over 5f.
Smartly bred and with this step up to 6f looking very much like it will suit, I can see him improving past this mark of 69 today.
Yeah
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