THE BETTING STRATEGY

Year to date: +53.17 points

Sunday 28 November 2021

A little bit disappointing yesterday. Only De Machine returned us anything when finishing 5^th. Flash Collonges ran okay without threatening to win, Topofthecotswolds unseated at the first and Eklat De Rire ran well below form and was pulled up. Frero Banbou ran better than his previous race and I still think there’s more to come from him.

Sunday's afternoon card at Carlisle has been called off due to frost, while Leicester will inspect for a second time at 10.30 am.

Frost is also a concern at Leicester and officials assessed conditions at 8 am before deciding a second look was required before deciding if conditions are fit to race.

Leicester is the sole meeting in Britain as it stands as Carlisle was confirmed off first thing this morning.

A precautionary inspection at Carlisle was due to be held at 8 am but it was brought forward with conditions deemed unraceable for the seven-race fixture. 

The temperature was -2C at the time of the abandonment while snow is forecast later in the morning.

That leaves us with just the one selection at Fairyhouse this afternoon.

LOSS OF 3.54 pointS

All Selections are settled to Betfair SP

2.05 Fairyhouse

Coko Beach                                 2 points win

12.45 Carlisle

Adrimel                                          1 point win

1.45 Carlisle

Zambella                                       1 point win

Analysis

2.05 Fairyhouse

This is a tough race but Coko Beach is a decent horse who will have benefitted from his seasonal debut behind Envoi Allen at Down Royal last month. Ther ground will not be an issue as he has already won on heavy going and he should be bang up there at the end of the race.

12.45 Carlisle

Not seen since Aintree last April Adrimel was pulled up in his final two races of last season but before that had won three in a row and with a summer behind him he can resume from there and put those last two runs behind him.

1.45 Carlisle

A race over hurdles at Wetherby a month ago should have put Zambella spot on for this. She’ll love the soft ground and has won three chases over and a bit shorter than this but this is her optimum distance as far as I am concerned and I’m expecting a bold show.

Statistics

2021

All the figures above are based on Betfair Starting Price.

Regards

Karl