THE BETTING
STRATEGY
Year to date: +54.04 points
Friday 03 December 2021
A good day yesterday when Chianti Classico Won 3.75, despite drifting in the betting. It was a really comfortable 11 length success as
well.
It’s the start of another mad weekend today with plenty of action for us.
PROFIT OF 5.39 pointS
All Selections are settled to Betfair SP
12.45 Sandown
Count Meribel 2 points win
2.05 Exeter
Boothill 1 point win
Adrimel 1 point win
2.25Sandown
Brave Kingdom 1 point win
2.40 Exeter
Gunsight Ridge 1 point win
3.15 Exeter
Montanna 1 point ew
3.35 Sandown
Pileon 1 point win
Analysis
12.45 Sandown
It’s over three years since the nine year old Count Meribel got his head in front but if he rediscovers his old form then he’s very well handicapped and a recent run over hurdles will have brought him to a decent fitness level. He’ll probably either win or
finish out with the washing so we’ll go on the nose here.
2.05 Exeter
What a great novices chase this is. There are only six runners but five of them can be given a chance and I’m going to go two handed in this one because I really can’t separate Adrimel and Boothill. The former is having his first run since
pulling up in a hurdle race at Aintree last April but he’s always been a chaser in the making and trainer Tom Lacey will have ensured his jumping will be spot on, or as near as that as you can get with a first time chaser. I really think he could go close here but Boothill is also another who has always promised to be a chaser and Harry Fry’s charge has the benefit of a hurdle race in October and he’ll certainly strip fit enough. Gladiateur Allen and Elixer De Nutz will also be in with chances.
It’s going to be a great race to watch and hopefully one of my two selections will win. Whatever happens I’m pretty certain that they’ll both be winning chases in due course.
2.25 Sandown
I have been very impressed with the Paul Nicholls trained Brave Kingdom and will be surprised if he is beaten here. A winner at Chepstow last month by ten lengths on his hurdling debut suggests he might be a bit special. Today we will find
out.
2.40 Exeter
Gunsight Ridge was third at Aintree last month when he was fancied to win on his chasing debut. He jumped well that day in what was a pretty decent race and the step up in trip today will definitely
suit him.
3.15 Exeter
The Peter Bowen trained Montanna is a big price here but I can’t understand why. He has won five races over both codes and is very capable of picking up this chase. He’s not been out of the first three in any of his last nine races and I don’t see why this
consistent selection should fare any worse today.
3.35 Sandown
The recent form of Pileon is certainly nothing to get excited about but his last race fourth at Aintree suggested that the son of Yeats was returning to somewhere near his best form and Philip Hobbs will have him spot on for this and he should be able to get
involved in the finish. He’s been dropped a further pound for that run and is now on a very winnable mark.
Statistics
2021
December
|
+8.87
|
June
|
-40.08
|
November
|
-16.85
|
May
|
+13.98
|
October
|
+14.94
|
April
|
-32.46
|
September
|
+11.10
|
March
|
+42.68
|
August
|
+13.08
|
February
|
+47.82
|
July
|
-8.99
|
January
|
+0.22
|
All the figures above are based on Betfair Starting
Price.
Regards
Karl