THE BETTING STRATEGY

Year to date: +66.64 points

Friday 10 December 2021

If Allavina was disappointing yesterday, with some sloppy jumping then Highway One O Two Won 11.0 certainly wasn’t and that gave us a great boost. He led for virtually the whole race and hung on well on the run-in.

The start of another manic weekend today and we have four selections.

PROFIT OF 18.60 pointS

All Selections are settled to Betfair SP

12.05 Cheltenham

Washington                                 2 points win

2.15 Doncaster

Goobinator                                  2 points win

3.35 Cheltenham

Ask Dillon                                     2 points win

3.45 Bangor

Barrowdale                                  1 point win

Analysis

12.05 Cheltenham

A winner of a hurdle race and two NH flat races from 2m to 2m 1f on ground varying from good to soft, Washington was beaten 2l by I Like To Move It when second of 3 at 2-1 on his latest outing in a Grade 2 hurdle race here over 2m (good) last month. He lost little in defeat that day and is capable of making his presence felt here.

2.15 Doncaster

The smart Flat handicapper Goobinator - fourth in the Cesarewitch - was still travelling strongly when coming down three out at Bangor last time out and, racing off an unchanged mark, this looks a decent opportunity to notch hurdle win number four. Cobblers Dream, Leoncavallo and Faire Part Sivola have all shown enough in defeat recently help make a decent market. Our selection has won three hurdle races from 2m to 2m 1f on soft and heavy ground and will have no problems with the surface here.

3.35 Cheltenham

Ask Dillon has won three hurdle races and a point-to-point from 2m 6f to 3m on ground varying from good to soft. Although well beaten at 25-1 behind Dans Le Vent when 11th of 12 on his latest outing in a Grade 3 hurdle race in the Group 3 Stayers' Handicap Hurdle at Haydock over 3m (good) last month, he is still a decent horse and a return to his best form could see him get really competitive here. He’s a course and distance winner so the track holds no fears for him.

3.45 Bangor

A point to point winner at Boulta over 3m in December last year, beating Ihavent A Clue by 10l, Barrowdale is having his first run for Donald McCain today, having previously been with Michael Winters in Ireland. This should be a gentle introduction to the jumping game proper for the six year old and I will be a little surprised if he is beaten.

Statistics

2021

All the figures above are based on Betfair Starting Price.

Regards

Karl