Good evening,

I'm away this weekend for a family wedding so no more tips from me until Monday night. But plenty to get stuck into below and hopefully a strong end to the month

1:00 Brighton, La Mia Dutchessa - 1pt e/w @34 Hills/10Bet/SBK

Ran a bigger race than the result suggested on debut at Wolverhampton as she got bumped just after the start which meant she would always struggle from the rear, add to that her getting hampered several times when looking to make headway it looks a debut to forget, and forgive. Although difficult to gauge just how much better than the result that effort is, I'd mark her down as at least 7L better. That wasn't a particularly strong maiden race, but then neither was those of any of her shorter-priced rivals, and with David Loughnane's 2yo's performing so well over the past two years, if this filly can improve on that debut run, then with Hollie Doyle booked to ride, it should give her every chance of competing for honours in tomorrow's race.

1:35 Brighton, Wooders Dream - 1pt e/w @19 generally

Still a maiden after 5 races, but it's a similar case with all of tomorrow's rivals in this weak handicap, and I thought he ran a decent race when having his first start for rooky trained Jack Jones at Wetherby last time. Forcing a decent pace over 7f from the off, she was still in there pitching at the furlong pole before weakening right out of contention. That race was pretty good form for the level, featuring a number of in form horses and horses that have that have franked the form since, it was also her first run for 7-weeks so she's entitled to come on for it, and if doing so, then dropping to 6f it should put her right in the mix tomorrow in what looks a weak affair.

1:55 Chepstow, White Umbrella - 1pt win @9 generally

Showed greenness on debut but ran OK despite finishing last of 9. She then improved on that last time where again she was keen/green stepping up to a mile for the first time, and had she not got hampered a few times when trying to stay on from the rear, I think she'd have been placed. She'll be having her last run before getting her mark tomorrow, but this isn't the type of yard to mess about, plus dropping to 6f might signal connections intentions are to win. This looks a flaky little open age novice, and if she can improve again then I think she could give the fav a run for her money.

2:30 Chepstow, Hope Probe - 2pts win @6.5 generally

Like most at this level, he doesn't win many, but he's fairly consistent on turf and had his jockey not taken him halfway round Wales to finish third in his last race, then he'd possibly have won. He's down in trip & grade tomorrow, and if Tyler Heard can keep his mount straight, then from his ideal middling draw, he must have a great chance.

3:30 Carlisle, Pepper Arden - 1pt e/w @21 generally (4 places)

Ex-Michael Dods, he failed to really fire in his two starts for that yard at two, and was subsequently passed over to the Ruth Carr yard where, although well beat on his return from a long absence last time, he did finish mid-pack and after a slight coming together his jockey was quick to throw in the towel on what was his last race before getting a mark. But I thought he looked better than that, plus he looked to have more left to give at the end of what was a nice maiden, containing a handful of useful types. He's been handed an opening mark of just 50 for those three runs, and in what looks a moderate at best handicap, if he can build on that stable debut effort, then I think he can outrun his odds.

3:30 Carlisle, Dirty Leeds - 1pt e/w @8.5 generally (4 places)

Has caught my eye a few times including at Newcastle on his penultimate run, returning from a break. Then although well-beat when switching to the turf last time, that was a competitive affair and he ran quite well without cover on the far side to go down by just over 3L. He's dropping in grade tomorrow and over this stiffer 6f, I think he can go well also.

8:30 Pontefract, Fylde Coast - 2pts win @3.85 generally

Ran a big race last time, not only on his return from a lengthy break, but also on his handicap debut and the step up to this longer trip. He was still a bit green the last time so he'll need to drop a bit of that, but that race was good form with numbers that back it up, and although he should come on for the run, he might not need to improve at all to win tomorrow's race.

Best of luck,

Gary