Good evening,
A profitable, though frustrating day on Friday, with just one winner which could quite easily have been 4, including a 33/1 and 18/1 shot! But, no complaints as we've had a cracking May with over 50pts profit. Just one last day in May so the profit is in the bag as we look to try to better those stats in June.
3:10 Newbury, Eagle Court - 1pt e/w @21 generally (4 places)
Ran Ok for us here in April where he looked to get lit-up by a little bump not long after the start, causing him to race very keenly for about half a furlong. But he settled better as the pace picked up and looked to have more left to give towards the end where again he got checked a few times and wasn't asked for everything in a race that looked good form with the numbers to back up that theory. He settled better at Kempton last time even though he was stepping up in
trip where, with a more prominent ride he may well have finished placed. He's racing off a 4lb lower mark than his Newbury run and dropping in grade tomorrow, and with those two runs under his belt he should be primed for tomorrow's race and hopefully record his first win for his new yard.
4:30 Leicester, Night Of Luxury - 1pt win @8.5 generally
A risky bet in the sense that this will be his first run on turf together with him returning from a break, but there's nothing to suggest that he won't be as effective on grass, plus his yard always have their horses ready. Added to those negatives are the fact that this horse is yet to win a race in six attempts, but a very strong positive must be that his last piece of form when finishing a never-nearer 8th in Meydan, is by far and away the strongest piece of form
in tomorrow's race, plus it was his first try at the middle distances so there could be a lot more to come now we know that he gets the trip. Fav 'At Liberty' looks well-in after his good second in a good time at Ripon, but he looks far too short in price for me so I'm willing to take a chance on this fella who's the only real rival in the race of the fav, that looks like he might be very well handicapped, especially off a 4lb lower mark than his Meydan run.
7:22 Thirsk, Ribtide - 1pt e/w @23 generally (4 places)
A horse that ran well at 50/1 for us on his second start at Newcastle. Fast-forward to his handicap debut last time where, despite finishing 12th, he looked much better than that as he got hampered several times and just couldn't get a proper run at things. He's been dropped 2lb for that effort and down in grade but in a similar strength handicap, he looks overpriced.
Best of luck,
Gary