Sunday 15th May

After a good weekend just one bet for Sunday with Matilda Picotte (unplaced 2/1) at Naas. She was well-supported all day but did too much too early and set the race up for the O’Brien filly, and even missed out on a place in the last strides, she might need to drop back to the minimum in future.

Monday 16th May

At Carlisle, I’m going to give a chance to Runninwild (1:55) for Ann Duffield. I thought the gelding ran better than a sixth place suggests at Thirsk last time out. Drawn twelve of twelve, he had to make his challenge stands side which seemed to be disadvantageous on the day. Despite that, Runninwild showed up well for a long way before a lack of a run took its toll. Dropped 2lbs for that and dropping in grade, he’s expected to be sharper for that return and the stiff five furlongs should be ideal:

Carlisle 1:55 – RUNNINWILD – 1 point win @ 9/2 (Bet365; 4/1 generally)

I nearly tipped Run To Freedom at Windsor (6:10), not a lot went right for him at Newmarket on seasonal debut, but he was still only beaten 3¼ lengths. That was a group 3 race, and he is stepping into what looks a moderate listed race here. My only issue is that I struggle to get it right when assessing Henry Candy’s runners, I can’t explain why but it always affects my confidence. Although he has won at six furlongs, there is a suggestion that he is better at seven.