Cheltenham Day 2 - Betting Guide, Key Trends & Expert Predictions

Published: Tue, 03/11/25

Cheltenham Day 2 - Betting Guide, Key Trends & Expert Predictions

Just to quickly point out - some of the predictions will seem blindingly obvious, Stats & Trends along with confirmed runners fed to ai to generate you the full previews, as per the stats & trends.

13:20 - Turner's Novices' Hurdle

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🔥 Best Trend Fit: Final Demand

✅ Trained by Willie Mullins.
✅ Proven Grade 1 form.
✅ High rating and ideal age.
✅ Paul Townend rides — the ultimate Mullins weapon at Cheltenham.

✅ The New Lion (15/8)

✅ 6 years old — ideal age.
✅ Rated 147 — close to the key benchmark.
✅ Trained by Dan Skelton — improving record at Cheltenham.
✅ Proven over 2m 4f — stamina assured.

💪 Verdict: Strong form and fits most of the trends. Big danger to the favourite.

✅ The Yellow Clay (13/2)

✅ Trained by Gordon Elliott — successful in this race.
✅ Proven over 2m 4f+
✅ Grade 1 winning form.
✅ Jack Kennedy rides — top jockey booking.

💪 Verdict: Big player with a strong profile. Strong each-way bet.

✅ Potters Charm (14/1)

✅ 6 years old — fits the ideal age profile.
✅ Strong recent form over 2m 4f.
✅ Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies — not a top trainer in this race, but solid profile.

💪 Verdict: Could spring a surprise at decent odds.

✅ Sixmilebridge (16/1)

✅ 6 years old — fits the ideal age.
✅ Proven over 2m 4f.
✅ Trained by Fergal O’Brien — could be a dark horse.

💪 Verdict: Could outrun the odds and place at a nice price.

💰 Each-Way Value

➡️ The Yellow Clay (13/2) – Fits the profile of a strong each-way bet.
➡️ Potters Charm (14/1) – Strong form at an attractive price.
➡️ Sixmilebridge (16/1) – The type to outrun the odds.

🚫 Runners to Avoid

❌ Kaid d'Authie – Rated too low; inexperienced and unlikely to have the class.
❌ Supersundae – Poor recent form; unlikely to improve here.
❌ Forty Coats – Low BHA rating and out of his depth at this level.
❌ Kel Histoire – No Grade 1 form; needs more experience.

🏆 Top Selection: Final Demand – Ideal age, top trainer, and Grade 1 form!

💼 Best Each-Way Bet: The Yellow Clay – Strong trends fit at a value price.

🚀 Dark Horse: Sixmilebridge – Could sneak into the frame at big odds.

14:00 - Brown Advisory Novices' Chase

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🔥Best Trend Fit: Ballyburn

✅ 7 years old.
✅ Grade 1 winning form.
✅ Trained by Willie Mullins.
✅ Top jockey in Paul Townend.

💰 Each-Way Value

➡️ Dancing City (9/2) – Proven Grade 1 form at a value price.
➡️ Stellar Story (12/1) – Gordon Elliott’s best chance in the race.
➡️ Lecky Watson (16/1) – Ideal profile to hit the frame.

🚫 Runners to Avoid

❌ Gorgeous Tom – BHA rating too low and lacks Grade 1 form.
❌ Quai De Bourbon – Inexperienced and unproven at this level.

🏆 Top Selection: Ballyburn – Strong form, perfect profile.

💼 Best Each-Way Bet: Dancing City – Proven Grade 1 form.

🚀 Dark Horse: Lecky Watson – Capable of a surprise at big odds.

14:40 - Coral Cup Hurdle

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🔥Best Trend Fit: Be Aware

✅ 6 years old.
✅ Listed-winning form.
✅ Big-race trainer.

✅ Bunting (6/1)

✅ Trained by Willie Mullins — elite record at Cheltenham.
✅ 5 years old — younger horses have struggled, but Mullins effect is key.
✅ Paul Townend rides — top jockey booking.

💪 Verdict: Classy type with top connections – should be involved.

✅ Impose Toi (9/1)

✅ Nicky Henderson’s top chance.
✅ Cheltenham Festival experience.
✅ BHA rating of 141 — ideal for this race.
✅ Nico de Boinville on board — Henderson’s go-to jockey.

💪 Verdict: Perfect profile, experienced, and well-handicapped.

✅ Comfort Zone (10/1)

✅ Joseph O’Brien-trained – improving steadily.
✅ Has Cheltenham form.
✅ BHA rating of 137 — well-handicapped.

💪 Verdict: Progressive profile – could spring a surprise.

✅ Jimmy Du Seuil (14/1)

✅ Trained by Willie Mullins — top yard.
✅ Strong recent form.
✅ BHA rating of 146 — competitive.

💪 Verdict: Value each-way option from a proven stable.

💰 Each-Way Value

➡️ Impose Toi (9/1) – Strong Festival form.
➡️ Comfort Zone (10/1) – Cheltenham-proven.
➡️ Jimmy Du Seuil (14/1) – Likely to hit the frame.

🚫 Runners to Avoid

❌ Maxxum – Gordon Elliott’s poor record in the race is a concern.
❌ Ballyadam – 10 years old — outside the winning age range.
❌ Sa Fureur – Rating too low for the usual winner’s profile.

🏆 Top Selection: Be Aware – Classy profile with a proven big-race trainer.

💼 Best Each-Way Bet: Impose Toi – Consistent form and Henderson factor.

🚀 Dark Horse: Jimmy Du Seuil – Capable of a big run.

15:20 - Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase

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🔥 Best Trend Fit: Stumptown

✅ 8 years old.
✅ Proven Cheltenham form.
✅ Gordon Elliott factor.

✅ Galvin (4/1)

✅ Gordon Elliott’s main runner – trainer dominance applies.
✅ Jack Kennedy aboard – top big-race jockey.
✅ Second to Delta Work in 2023 – proven over course and trip.
✅ Grade 1 winner – class edge over most rivals.

💪 Verdict: Main threat to the favourite – solid each-way option.

✅ Mister Coffey (15/2)

✅ Nicky Henderson-trained – improving Cross Country profile.
✅ Cheltenham Festival placed – proven course form.
✅ Classy horse dropping into calmer waters.

💪 Verdict: Each-way potential if adapting to this test.

✅ Vanillier (8/1)

✅ Trained by Gavin Cromwell – strong Cross Country record.
✅ Proven stamina over 3m+ – stays all day.
✅ Strong Grade 1 form – potential big improver.

💪 Verdict: Stays well, strong finisher – dangerous late on.

✅ Busselton (15/2)

✅ Joseph O’Brien-trained – respected connections.
✅ Strong Graded form.
✅ Lightly raced over Cross Country fences – scope to improve.

💪 Verdict: Potential improver – respected for place claims.

💰 Each-Way Value

➡️ Mister Coffey (15/2) – Proven Festival performer.
➡️ Vanillier (8/1) – Strong stayer, solid form.
➡️ Busselton (15/2) – Unexposed at this trip.

🚫 Runners to Avoid

❌ Latenightpass – 12 years old – outside ideal age profile.
❌ Chambard – 13 years old – no horse older than 11 has won since 2005.
❌ The Goffer – Rating of 137 is low for this race.
❌ Gevrey – Poor recent form – unlikely to compete.

🏆 Top Selection: Stumptown – Leading profile and ideal prep.

💼 Best Each-Way Bet: Galvin – Strong Grade 1 form and trainer record.

🚀 Dark Horse: Vanillier – Strong stamina test suits perfectly.

16:00 - Champion Chase

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🔥 Best Trend Fit: Jonbon

✅ 9 years old – fits ideal age profile.
✅ Nicky Henderson’s main contender – five-time race winner.
✅ Top-rated horse – fits Grade 1 profile.

💰 Each-Way Value

➡️ Energumene (15/2) – Two-time winner – course and race experience counts.
➡️ Solness (8/1) – Fast-improving horse – great value at the price.

🚫 Runners to Avoid

❌ Captain Guinness (25/1) – Won last year but seems below top level now.
❌ Quilixios (33/1) – Below top-class form this season.
❌ Libberty Hunter (33/1) – Lightly raced and unproven in Grade 1 company.

🏆 Top Selection: Jonbon – The class act in the field and leading contender.

💼 Best Each-Way Bet: Energumene – Course form and proven winner.

🚀 Dark Horse: Solness – Young, improving, and could be dangerous.

16:40 - Grand Annual Chase

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🔥 Best Trend Fit: The King Of Prs

✅ 7 years old – Ideal age profile.
✅ Well-handicapped – Fits the key OR range.
✅ Irish-trained – Strong record in the race.

✅ The King Of Prs (17/2)

✅ Trained by Gavin Cromwell – top Irish handler with a strong Festival record.
✅ Profile fits the trends perfectly – 7 years old, lightly raced, and well-handicapped.
✅ Won a competitive Irish handicap chase earlier in the season.

💪 Verdict: Prime contender – Ideal profile and well-handicapped.

✅ My Mate Mozzie (15/2)

✅ 9 years old – Ideal age profile.
✅ Proven Grade 1 class – Competitive in top-level company.
✅ Strong form this season – Solid recent runs in Irish Grade 1s.

💪 Verdict: Top-class contender – Could go close if ground suits.

✅ Firefox (10/1)

✅ Trained by Gordon Elliott – Winner in 2020 with Chosen Mate.
✅ Well-handicapped on past form – Could be primed for this race.
✅ Suited by testing conditions – Could benefit from a strong pace.

💪 Verdict: Each-way value – Dangerous if back to best form.

✅ Jazzy Matty (9/1)

✅ Lightly raced 6-year-old – Open to plenty of improvement.
✅ Excellent form at shorter trips – Handles Cheltenham well.
✅ Represents a smaller yard – Could spring a surprise.

💪 Verdict: Dark horse – Unexposed and well-handicapped.

✅ Conyers Hill (20/1)

✅ Trained by Paul Nolan – Strong record with handicappers.
✅ Recent winner – Comes here in top form.
✅ Good value at the price – Could be a big market mover.

💪 Verdict: Solid outsider – Could sneak into the frame.

💰 Each-Way Value

➡️ The King Of Prs (17/2) – Well-handicapped and improving.
➡️ Firefox (10/1) – Gordon Elliott’s record in this race is strong.

🚫 Runners to Avoid

❌ Unexpected Party (6/1) – Won last year; no horse has won twice since 1959.
❌ Dancing On My Own (20/1) – 11 years old – Older horses struggle in this race.
❌ Gaelic Arc (100/1) – Exposed and likely out of his depth.

🏆 Top Selection: The King Of Prs – Irish-trained and ideal profile.

💼 Best Each-Way Bet: Firefox – Strong stable, fits the trends.

🚀 Dark Horse: Jazzy Matty – Unexposed and improving.

17:20 - Champion Bumper

READ THE FULL STATS AND PREVIEW HERE

🔥 Best Trend Fit: Kalypso’chance

✅ Unbeaten.
✅ Strong trainer and jockey combo.
✅ Perfect BHA rating and big-field experience.

✅ Bambino Fever (13/2)

✅ Trained by Willie Mullins – 13 wins in this race.
✅ Strong RPR of 138 – Highest in the field.
✅ Big-field experience – Won a competitive 18-runner bumper.

💪 Verdict: Mullins’ number one? Big player.

✅ Copacabana (11/4)

✅ Trained by Willie Mullins – Top yard for this race.
✅ Unbeaten – Won last time out comfortably.
✅ Jockey booking – Patrick Mullins on board, always significant.

💪 Verdict: Short price but fits the profile.

✅ Gameofinches (4/1)

✅ Trained by Willie Mullins – Top stable for bumpers.
✅ Grade 1 potential – Won a Grade 2 bumper last time.
✅ Jockey – Paul Townend takes the ride.

💪 Verdict: Experience and class – Major player.

✅ Aqua Force (12/1)

✅ Trained by Willie Mullins – Proven Festival winner.
✅ Big-field form – Won in 14-runner field last time.
✅ BHA rating of 127 – Competitive mark.

💪 Verdict: Sleeper in the field – Strong each-way value.

💰 Each-Way Value

➡️ Kalypso’chance (11/2) – Gordon Elliott runner – Ideal profile.
➡️ Bambino Fever (13/2) – Mullins-trained – High RPR and unbeaten.
➡️ Aqua Force (12/1) – Under the radar – Big value.

🚫 Runners to Avoid

❌ Dalston Lad (50/1) – Poor RPR and lacks the class for this race.
❌ Lancelot Allen (66/1) – 4-year-old; no 4yo winner since 2010.
❌ Sortudo (40/1) – No significant bumper form – unlikely to feature.
❌ No Drama This End (16/1) – BHA rating too low (118).
❌ Caballero Cliff (100/1) – Exposed and outclassed.

🏆 Top Selection: Kalypso’chance – Fits all major trends.

💼 Best Each-Way Bet: Bambino Fever – Top-class and unbeaten.

🚀 Dark Horse: Aqua Force – Excellent each-way value.

Until next time,

Ben

Punthub, Your Trusted Tipster Marketplace.

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