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🏇 Kelso 1:15 – Ladbrokes Handicap Chase Trends

Key trends from the last 8 runnings:
✅ 7/8 aged 7-9
✅ 7/8 carried 10-12 or more
✅ 7/8 ran in the last 5 weeks
✅ 7/8 won between 0-3 times over fences
✅ 7/8 were unplaced last time out
✅ 6/8 had won over 3m+
✅ 4/8 had run at Kelso before
✅ 7/8 returned 7/1 or shorter
✅ The average winning SP is 6/1

🏇 Horse Profiles

Dare To Shout (13/8)
✔️ Age 8
✔️ Weight 10-10
✔️ Ran 8 March (last 5 weeks)
✔️ Won 2 over fences
✔️ Unplaced last time
✔️ Won over 3m+
✔️ Kelso experience
✔️ Odds within range

✅ Ticks all key trends – Strongest profile match

Cadell (3/1)
✔️ Age 7
✔️ Weight 10-6
✔️ Ran 2 February (last 5 weeks)
✔️ Won over fences
✔️ Unplaced last time
✔️ Won over 3m+
✔️ Kelso experience
✔️ Odds within range

✅ Ticks all key trends – Major contender

Pull Again Green (7/2)
✔️ Age 9
✔️ Weight 10-11
✔️ Ran 14 December (last 5 weeks)
✔️ Won over fences
✔️ Unplaced last time
✔️ Won over 3m+
❌ No Kelso experience

✅ Solid match, just lacks Kelso run

Your Own Story (9/2)
✔️ Age 9
✔️ Weight 10-3
✔️ Ran 22 February (last 5 weeks)
✔️ Won over fences
✔️ Unplaced last time
✔️ Won over 3m+
✔️ Kelso experience
✔️ Odds within range

✅ Matches most trends – Consistent but often finds one too good

Mr Incredible (18/1)
✔️ Age 9
✔️ Weight 12-0
❌ Last ran 26 December (outside 5 weeks)
✔️ Won over fences
✔️ Unplaced last time
✔️ Won over 3m+
❌ No Kelso experience
❌ Odds too high

❌ Fails on timing and price

🎯 Best Fit:

➡️ Dare To Shout – Ticks every trend; looks the most reliable option
➡️ Cadell – Matches all key trends and could challenge

🏇 Kelso 1:50 – Ladbrokes Mares Hurdle (Listed Race) Preview

Key Trends:

No previous runnings

Trainer Henry Daly is 1-3 with hurdlers at Kelso

Trainer Dan Skelton has a 19% strike rate with hurdlers at Kelso

Trainer NW Alexander is 12 from 141 (9%) with hurdlers at Kelso

🏇 Horse Profiles

Wyenot (5/6)
✔️ Listed winner in December
✔️ 3rd in Grade 2 last time out
✔️ Henry Daly has a solid record at Kelso (1-3)
✔️ Proven over trip and ground
✅ Strongest claims – leading contender

Ottizzini (7/2)
✔️ 2nd to Wyenot in December
✔️ Won over 3m+ previously
✔️ Jockey J J Slevin rides well in these races
❌ Form tied closely with Wyenot – hard to reverse the form
✅ Capable of running well but held by Wyenot

Gale Mahler (6/1)
✔️ Listed winner last July
✔️ Trainer strike rate not great (9%)
✔️ Ran well two starts ago
❌ Below-par last time out
✅ Capable but inconsistent

Lavida Adiva (6/1)
✔️ Improving profile
✔️ Better ground and longer trip could suit
❌ Needs to find more on ratings
✅ Interesting at a price but needs to step up

Sacre Coeur (10/1)
✔️ Dan Skelton has a 19% strike rate at Kelso
✔️ Better over fences than hurdles
❌ Form over hurdles weaker than rivals
✅ Entitled to respect based on trainer/jockey combo

My Lady Elektra (250/1)
✔️ Lightly raced
❌ Massive step up in class
❌ Ratings suggest out of her depth
❌ Easily dismissed

🎯 Best Fit:

➡️ Wyenot – Class edge, drop in grade suits – clear top pick
➡️ Ottizzini – Closest to Wyenot on form but needs improvement to reverse it
➡️ Sacre Coeur – Dan Skelton’s strike rate makes her a danger if handling the trip

🏇 Kelso 2:25 – Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle (Series Final) Preview

Key Trends:
✅ Both winners were aged between 6-8
✅ Both winners carried 10-13 or less
✅ Both winners were ridden by a conditional jockey
✅ No winning favourite
✅ Trainers Sue Smith and Susan Corbett have won the race before
✅ Trainer Jonjo O’Neill and A J O’Neill are 2-5 (40%) with their hurdlers at Kelso
✅ Trainer Philip Kirby is 1 from 29 at Kelso with hurdlers
✅ Trainer Sandy Forster is 3 from 52 at Kelso with hurdlers
✅ Trainer Rebecca Menzies is 4 from 73 at Kelso with hurdlers
✅ Jockey Ross Chapman is 3 from 56 at Kelso over hurdles
✅ Jockey Conor O'Farrell is 4 from 84 at Kelso over hurdles

🏇 Horse Profiles

Achnamara (16/1)
✔️ Age 6
✔️ Weight 10-13
✔️ Won 2 of last 3 starts
✔️ Jockey Conor Rabbitt takes 3lb off
✅ Matches key trends – major contender

Sayva (8/1)
✔️ Age 5 (slightly young but improving)
✔️ Weight 11-11
✔️ Ridden by a conditional jockey
✔️ Trained by Jonjo & AJ O'Neill (40% strike rate)
✅ Strong profile based on jockey/trainer combination

I Am Max (9/2)
✔️ Age 7
✔️ Weight 11-6
✔️ Placed in last two starts
❌ Not ridden by a conditional
✅ Solid contender but lacks conditional jockey

Ballyfort (7/2)
✔️ Age 7
✔️ Weight 10-11
✔️ Won by 11 lengths at Ayr after wind surgery
✔️ Could still be improving
✅ Strong claims based on recent form

Foster's Fortune (11/1)
✔️ Age 6
✔️ Weight 11-3
✔️ Two wins this season
❌ Not ridden by a conditional
✅ Solid but slightly below key trend profile

Ashington (14/1)
❌ Age 10 (too old for the trends)
✔️ Weight 11-7
✔️ Won last time
❌ Outside ideal age range
✅ Form solid but age a negative

Harper Valley (16/1)
✔️ Age 8
✔️ Weight 11-8
✔️ Consistent
❌ Trainer strike rate poor at Kelso
✅ Form strong but trainer strike rate a concern

Singapore Trip (12/1)
✔️ Age 7
✔️ Weight 10-11
❌ Poor form this season
✅ Has potential but needs to bounce back

Imperial Data (12/1)
✔️ Age 8
✔️ Weight 11-6
❌ Trainer strike rate poor at Kelso
✅ Handicap mark fair

🎯 Best Fit:

➡️ Achnamara – Ticks all trends and looks well-handicapped
➡️ Sayva – Strong trainer/jockey combo makes him dangerous
➡️ Ballyfort – Dominant last time out and still improving

🏇 Kelso 3:00 – Ladbrokes Herring Queen Series Final Mares’ Novices’ Handicap Hurdle

Key Trends:
✅ Both winners were aged between 5-6
✅ Both winners were favourites
✅ Trainer Fergal O’Brien won the race in 2023
✅ Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2022
✅ Trainer Jonjo O'Neill and AJ O'Neill have a 40% strike rate with hurdlers at Kelso
✅ Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 31% strike rate at Kelso

🏇 Horse Profiles

Surrey Belle (4/1)
✔️ Age 5
✔️ Two wins from last two starts
✔️ Steps into handicap company for the first time
✔️ Trainer Adrian Paul Keatley has a good record with mares
✅ Strong contender with a progressive profile

Rula Bula (11/1)
✔️ Age 6
✔️ Placed in a listed race
✔️ Jonjo & AJ O'Neill have a 40% strike rate at Kelso
✔️ Return to better ground could help
✅ Interesting on form and trainer record

Northern Air (4/1)
✔️ Age 6
✔️ Won maiden hurdle at Taunton
✔️ Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 31% strike rate at Kelso
❌ Faces tougher opposition now
✅ Trainer form and recent win suggest improvement

Game Colours (17/2)
✔️ Age 7 (just outside ideal age)
✔️ Won a novice at Lingfield
✔️ Unexposed over this trip
❌ Not the ideal age but progressive
✅ Potential improver

Walkadina (7/1)
✔️ Age 6
✔️ Placed in a competitive novice race at Ludlow
✔️ Trainer David Pipe knows how to place mares
✅ Good form but could improve further

Barrabool (7/1)
✔️ Age 5
✔️ Second last time out in novice
✔️ Well treated for handicap debut
✅ Trainer Harry Derham’s horses improving

Tour Ovalie (11/1)
✔️ Age 6
✔️ Multiple wins this season
✔️ Prolific but better over shorter trips
✅ Consistent but might be stretched by trip

Lizzie Luna (16/1)
✔️ Age 5
✔️ Won at Musselburgh last time
✔️ Steps back down in trip
✅ Winning form but needs to prove stamina

🎯 Best Fit:

➡️ Surrey Belle – Ticks all key trends; progressive and well-handicapped
➡️ Northern Air – Trainer record at Kelso is strong; improving type
➡️ Barrabool – Well treated on handicap debut and could go well at a price

🏇 Kelso 3:35 – Ladbrokes Handicap Chase Preview

Key Trends:
✅ 7/7 had run at Kelso before
✅ 7/7 ran in the last 3 weeks
✅ 7/7 finished in the top 4 last time out
✅ 6/7 returned 5/1 or shorter
✅ 5/7 had won at Kelso before
✅ 5/7 were unplaced favourites
✅ 4/7 ran at Kelso last time out
✅ 4/7 carried 11-5 or more
✅ 3/7 were ridden by a claiming jockey
✅ 2/7 were trained by Lucinda Russell
✅ 2/7 were ridden by Ryan Mania

🏇 Horse Profiles

Flash Du Pistolet (3/2)
✔️ Age 7
✔️ Won last time out at Newcastle
✔️ Up 6lb but improving
✔️ Jockey Ross Chapman takes the ride
❌ Yet to win at Kelso
✅ Strong claims based on recent form

Escapeandevade (4/1)
✔️ Age 9
✔️ Top 2 finish last time
✔️ Ran at Kelso last time
✔️ Proven over course and distance
✔️ Down to a dangerous mark
✅ Ticks most trends – solid chance

Gold Des Bois (5/1)
✔️ Age 11
✔️ Previous Kelso winner
✔️ Ridden by Ryan Mania (who has won this race before)
❌ Pulled up last time
✅ Trainer/jockey combo makes him dangerous

Bollingerandkrug (5/1)
✔️ Age 10
✔️ 6-time C&D winner
✔️ Trained by Lucinda Russell
✔️ Down in the weights
❌ Regressive profile
✅ Course form makes him a threat

Lively Citizen (7/1)
✔️ Age 10
✔️ Won two starts ago
✔️ Top 4 last time out
✔️ First-time tongue tie could help
✅ Could sneak into the frame

Duty Calls (14/1)
✔️ Age 12
✔️ Course winner
❌ Well below best form recently
❌ Pulled up in last two starts
❌ Looks to be on the decline
✅ Has course form but needs a revival

🎯 Best Fit:

➡️ Escapeandevade – Ticks most key trends, well-handicapped
➡️ Flash Du Pistolet – Progressive and coming off a win
➡️ Gold Des Bois – Ryan Mania’s booking boosts confidence

🏇 Newbury 2:05 – Novices' Handicap Hurdle Preview

Key Trends:
✅ 4/4 aged between 4–6
✅ 3/4 returned 11/2 or shorter
✅ 2/4 won with exactly 11-11
✅ 2/4 carried between 10-9 and 10-10
✅ 1/4 winning favourite
✅ Trainer SRB Crawford won the race in 2024
✅ Trainer Tom Lacey won the race in 2023
✅ Trainer Sam Thomas won the race in 2022
✅ Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2021
✅ Trainer Gary & Josh Moore have a 23% record with hurdlers at the track
✅ Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 22% record with hurdlers at the track
✅ Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 20% record with hurdlers at the track
✅ Jockey Nico De Boinville has a 25% record over hurdles at the track
✅ Jockey Harry Cobden has a 21% record over hurdles at the track

🏇 Horse Profiles

🌟 Serious Challenge (9/2)
✔️ Age 5
✔️ Won last two starts (Plumpton & Ayr)
✔️ Fergal O’Brien-trained (strong strike rate)
✔️ Lightly raced and improving
✅ Ticks most trends – progressive type

🌟 Alexei (15/2)
✔️ Age 5
✔️ Won two at Taunton before respectable 4th in a Listed race
✔️ Tizzard yard in good form
❌ Not well treated in the weights
✅ Solid claims based on form

🌟 Old Cowboy (10/1)
✔️ Age 5
✔️ Won by 20 lengths at Plumpton last time
✔️ Gary & Josh Moore (23% strike rate at the track)
❌ Up in class but progressive
✅ Trainer/jockey combo suggests a big run

🌟 Jackpot Des Bordes (10/1)
✔️ Age 6
✔️ Trained by Paul Nicholls (22% record at track)
✔️ Harry Cobden rides (21% record)
✔️ First-time cheekpieces could sharpen him up
✅ Has untapped potential

🌟 Norn Iron (7/2)
✔️ Age 7
✔️ Consistent over hurdles
✔️ Close 2nd at Newbury in January
✔️ Strong form in better races
❌ Slightly older than ideal for this race
✅ Major player based on consistency

🌟 Oh My Johnny (9/1)
✔️ Age 5
✔️ Won last time out at Hereford (rallied late)
✔️ Lightly raced and improving
✅ Each-way potential

🌟 Glynn Brae (11/1)
✔️ Age 5
✔️ Won last two starts
✔️ Proven on soft/heavy ground
❌ Up in class
✅ Good prospect but untested at this level

🌟 Calimystic (7/1)
✔️ Won over 2m3f last time
✔️ Nicky Henderson-trained (20% record)
✔️ Nico De Boinville rides (25% record)
✅ Strong trainer/jockey combo

🎯 Best Fit:

➡️ Serious Challenge – Won last two races, progressive, top trainer
➡️ Old Cowboy – Impressive last time, strong trainer/jockey combo
➡️ Jackpot Des Bordes – Paul Nicholls and Harry Cobden combination looks dangerous

🏇 Newbury 2:40 – Handicap Chase Preview

Key Trends:
✅ 10/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
✅ 9/10 – Aged 7 or older
✅ 9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
✅ 9/10 – Favourites finished first or second
✅ 8/10 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
✅ 7/10 – Won no more than 3 times over fences
✅ 7/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
✅ 6/10 – Had run over fences at Newbury before
✅ 6/10 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
✅ 4/10 – Winning favourites
✅ 3/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
✅ 2/10 – Trained by Dan Skelton (last 2 winners)
✅ Heltenham won the race in 2024 and 2023

🏇 Horse Profiles

🌟 Saint Segal (4/1)
✔️ Age 7
✔️ Placed 3rd in Grade 3 at Newbury last time out
✔️ Front-runner, two wins over C&D
✔️ Consistent and improving
✅ Strong contender based on form and trends

🌟 Theatre Man (6/1)
✔️ Age 9
✔️ Wind surgery since last run
✔️ Hasn't hit peak form but well-handicapped
✅ Could improve post-surgery

🌟 Imagine (9/1)
✔️ Age 7
✔️ First-time tongue-tie and cheekpieces
✔️ Down the weights
❌ Unreliable this season
✅ Interesting if headgear sparks improvement

🌟 Riskintheground (15/2)
✔️ Age 8
✔️ Well treated based on previous 2m4f form
✔️ Below par recently but potential on better ground
✅ Dangerous if bouncing back to form

🌟 Bob Bob Ricard (11/2)
✔️ Age 7
✔️ Won last time out
✔️ Lightly raced over fences
✅ Unexposed and could improve further

🌟 Scarface (6/1)
✔️ Age 8
✔️ Generally consistent
✔️ Solid form over C&D
✅ Capable if last run forgiven

🌟 Matterhorn (20/1)
✔️ Trained by Paul Nicholls (strong record in this race)
✔️ Won 4 in a row before losing form
❌ Questionable current form
✅ Dangerous if bouncing back

🌟 Numitor (16/1)
✔️ Age 11
✔️ Second in this race in 2023
✔️ May prefer soft ground
✅ Each-way shout

🎯 Best Fit:

➡️ Saint Segal – Proven at C&D, consistent and improving
➡️ Theatre Man – Could improve post-wind surgery
➡️ Bob Bob Ricard – Potential to step up

🏇 Newbury 3:15 – Novices' Mares' Hurdle (Grade 2) Preview

Key Trends:
✅ 10/12 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
✅ 10/12 – Won 1-2 times before
✅ 9/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
✅ 9/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
✅ 9/12 – Returned 7/1 or bigger
✅ 8/12 – Had not run at Newbury before
✅ 8/12 – Had won over 2m4f or further before
✅ 8/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
✅ 6/12 – Placed favourites
✅ 6/12 – Irish-bred winners
✅ 6/12 – Aged 5 years-old
✅ 6/12 – Ran at Doncaster (4) or Exeter (2) last time out
✅ 5/12 – Won last time out
✅ 4/12 – Winning favourites
✅ 2/12 – Trained by Charlie Longsdon
✅ 2/12 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill

🏇 Horse Profiles

🌟 Siog Geal (3/1)
✔️ Age 6
✔️ Finished 2nd last time out
✔️ Strong recent form
✔️ Step up in trip should suit
✅ Ticks most key trends – major contender

🌟 Jasmine Bliss (9/2)
✔️ Age 6
✔️ Won last two starts comfortably
✔️ Carries top weight but has been progressive
❌ Top weight a challenge
✅ Solid recent form – a strong contender

🌟 Crazierthandaisy (8/1)
✔️ Age 6
✔️ Won last time out at Warwick (2m5f)
✔️ Unexposed and improving
✅ Ticks key age and win trends

🌟 Scarlet O'Tara (8/1)
✔️ Age 7
✔️ Won three times last year
✔️ Pulled up last time out but had valid excuse (bled from nose)
✅ Capable if bouncing back to best

🌟 Sunset Marquesa (12/1)
✔️ Age 6
✔️ Won two of her last four starts
✔️ Step up in trip should suit
✅ Dangerous if finding more improvement

🌟 La Pinsonniere (11/1)
✔️ Age 5
✔️ Second to Jasmine Bliss last time out
✔️ Gets a 7lb pull in the weights
✅ Could reverse the form with Jasmine Bliss

🌟 Rockstown Girl (25/1)
✔️ Age 7
✔️ 2-8 over hurdles
✔️ Faces stiff opposition but has upside
❌ Likely to find this tough
✅ Outside chance for place

🌟 Clotilda (28/1)
✔️ Trained by Paul Nicholls
✔️ Back to suitable ground
❌ Needs to prove herself over the trip
✅ Could improve with better ground

🎯 Best Fit:

➡️ Siog Geal – Strong recent form, unexposed over trip
➡️ Jasmine Bliss – Progressive, though weight is a concern
➡️ Crazierthandaisy – Last-time-out winner, improving

🏇 Bangor 1:35 – Handicap Hurdle Preview

Key Trends:
✅ Both winners aged 7
✅ Both winners were favourites (or joint favourites)
✅ Both winners carried between 10-13 and 11-3
✅ Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies won in 2024
✅ Trainer Donald McCain won in 2023
✅ Nicky Henderson has a 27% strike rate with hurdlers at Bangor
✅ Olly Murphy has a 22% strike rate with hurdlers at Bangor

🏇 Horse Profiles

🌟 Nusret (9/2)
✔️ Trained by Nicky Henderson (27% strike rate at the track)
✔️ Dropped to a workable mark
✔️ High-class form earlier in career
✔️ Good ground and trip should suit
❌ Fitness after 233-day layoff is the question
✅ Big chance if sharp enough after the break

🌟 Thunder Rock (7/2)
✔️ Class dropper after running in Grade 2 races
✔️ Trained by Olly Murphy (22% strike rate at Bangor)
✔️ High-class form in the past
❌ Yet to hit top form this season
✅ Dangerous if back to his best

🌟 Homme Public (9/1)
✔️ Runner-up in this race two years ago
✔️ Excellent run over fences last time out
✔️ Gets 3lb from jockey claim
❌ Needs to show more over hurdles
✅ Good each-way value

🌟 Gentleman Bill (10/3)
✔️ Progressing well this season
✔️ Two wins and a second from last four runs
✔️ Weighted well
❌ Needs to bounce back after below-par effort last time
✅ Strong contender based on recent form

🌟 The Four Sixes (7/1)
✔️ Back over a shorter trip
✔️ Could improve on recent efforts
❌ Poor runs recently – pulled up and unseated in last two
✅ Potential to bounce back

🌟 West To The Bridge (9/1)
✔️ Won last time out at Wetherby
✔️ Good tactical speed
❌ Prefers softer ground
✅ Dangerous if handling quicker conditions

🌟 Mr Freedom (8/1)
✔️ Proven winner over both hurdles and the flat
✔️ Well treated on best form
❌ Lack of recent run a concern
✅ Potentially well-handicapped

🌟 Willaston (12/1)
✔️ Well-handicapped on old form
✔️ Not far off in last two runs
❌ Needs to rediscover winning touch
✅ Could outrun his odds

🎯 Best Fit:

➡️ Nusret – High-class form, right ground and trip
➡️ Thunder Rock – Drop in class and potential improvement
➡️ Gentleman Bill – Progressive profile