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NEW TRIAL - HORSEPLAYS

1:20 - Aintree - BILL JOYCE - 1pt E/W  (best priced 9/1)

7:15 - Wolverhampton - BACK FROM DUBAI - 1 pt E/W (priced in places at 12/1)

Grand National 4:00 - Aintree

PERCEVAL LEGALLOIS (1pt E/W) and BEAUPORT (1pt E/W)

Well, when you are struggling to even get a horse in the first ten, it's not a particularly enjoyable experience is it?

Gin Coco ran terribly on Friday and again, there are no excuses - it was just a misjudged selection. It can't get any worse but it certainly doesn't get any easier.

Joking aside, racing is always full of many ups and downs.

We just need to try to make amends today (Saturday) , when attempting to solve none other than the Grand National (Aintree, 4:00)  riddle itself, by using known winning variables to gradually whittle down the contenders for the biggest prize in National Hunt racing.

We will start with a field of 34 and eliminate them one by one, to see if we can get a selection that at least gives us a run for our money in the big one!

Did you know that other than the late , great Many Clouds (who had a heart as big as the Moon), no horse has won the race shouldering more than 11 stone 6 in recent times? Even Tiger Roll only carried 11 stone 5 for his second win. This fact means that I'm happy to eliminate the reigning champion I Am Maximus, as well as Royale Pagaille, Nick Rockett, Grangeclare West and the former King George winner Hewick.

The last few years have also been dominated by 7-9 year olds. So teenager Celebre d'Allen, Minella Indo, Ida's Boy, Conflated, Chantry House, Appreciate It, Vanillier, Twig, Threeunderthrufive, Coko Beach and perhaps the world's most overrated racehorse Bravemansgame, are all too old for this - according to the stats anyway!

That's 16 down already -  with 18 still remaining upright.

I'm looking for something with at least 9 chase runs, because other than surprise winner Noble Yeats in 2022, recent winners have all had at least this much experience under their saddle - Hyland, Senior Chief, Three Card Brag, Stay Away Fay and Iroko all fall short at this fence.

For proven stamina (the Grand National is a marathon, not a Snickers after all) I want to see evidence of at least 5 runs over a distance of 3 miles or more. Fil Dor, Intense Raffles, Kandoo Kid, Hitman and Horantzua d'Airy (easy for you to say) are relatively unproven, it's therefore my assessment that they don't have enough VaVaVoom in their locker and can walk out the door, because they're not welcome anymore...

This leaves us with no fewer than 8 (EIGHT) on the shortlist - Minella Cocooner, Stumptown, Beauport, Perceval Legallois, Broadway Boy, Meetingofthewaters, Monbeg Genius and Duffle Coat. 

The problem I have with Stumptown is that I think he will be too far behind the early pace to do his usual of picking up the pieces late on and for that reason, I don't think the race will suit him. 

Monbeg Genius is more of a soft ground horse when he's seen at his best - and he needs to be at his best for this.

Broadway Boy's form has been disappointing this year and I just don't envisage a miraculous recovery.

Meetingofthewaters didn't quite get the trip last year - fading at the death - however you could make a decent argument that he would fare better this time with the improved ground conditions. It's therefore a tough percentage call to look elsewhere.

I just don't think Minella Cocooner is well handicapped.

Deciding from the last three (Beauport, Duffle Coat and Perceval Legallois) has been the most difficult choice. I've decided to go with two -

BEAUPORT (best price 28/1 as I write this, 6 places available) who is in top form and won the Midlands National last year , so you know he'll get this trip and...

PERCEVAL LEGALLOIS (priced in places at 12/1 at the moment) who will be fully primed by the shrewd Gold Cup winning trainer Gavin Cromwell and it's interesting that he didn't enter his champion into this race. I may just have a sneaky Exacta too.

Make sure you get your bets on early, as the bookies will reduce most of the prices just before the off, as they do every year.

Good luck today and thank you for reading.

Please find below all of today's free trial selections:

Scores on the Doors

WON Bets (corrected):
Arsenal -1.5 at 2.25
→ Profit = (£10 × 2.25) - £10 = £22.50 - £10 = £12.50

Stuttgart 1-3 Bayern Munich at 11/1
→ Profit = (£10 × 11) = £110

Napoli 1-1 Inter Milan at 9/2 (4.5) or 5/1 (5)

Taking the more conservative odds of 9/2 → Profit = (£10 × 4.5) = £45
Liverpool 0-1 PSG at 12/1
→ Profit = (£10 × 12) = £120

Spurs 3-1 AZ Alkmaar at 10/1
→ Profit = (£10 × 10) = £100

Man City 2-2 Brighton at 11/1
→ Profit = (£10 × 11) = £110

& 16 losers (-£160)

✅ Total Profit = £337.50
👉 Correct total profit over the period is £337.50 from a £10 stake per bet.

Everton 1-1 Arsenal

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Across The Flat

Pete's Paddock Picks

The service has shown promise in its first few days of testing with 5 wins from 6 selections and has been around since 2022. Brilliantly titled Petes Paddock Picks:

December 2024 ended:  +£44.78

Year 2024 finished:  +£364.90

Year 2023 finished:  +£469.27

Results to £1 stakes

Saturday’s Aintree Selections – Grand National Day

1:20 Aintree – Bill Joyce & Act Of Authority
A fiercely competitive start to Grand National Day, and with plenty of unexposed types stepping up in trip, it’s worth siding with two runners who bring plenty of potential.
Bill Joyce looked smart when winning his bumper and novice hurdle starts on decent ground and didn’t run too badly behind The New Lion at Haydock. Ignore his Cheltenham Trials Day run—he’s fresher than most and makes his handicap debut in a first-time tongue tie.
Act Of Authority, meanwhile, shaped like a thorough stayer when finishing a strong second in the Martin Pipe. He’s up 5lbs for that but gets 7lbs off from Lewis Saunders, and the form has been boosted by the winner since.
Recommendations: Bill Joyce – 11/1, Act Of Authority – 12/1

1:55 Aintree – Regent’s Stroll (w/o Lulamba)
Lulamba is a warm order and will take some stopping, but I’ve played in the “without the favourite” market.
Regent’s Stroll is still learning, but Paul Nicholls applies a first-time hood, and this 2m4f trip looks right up his street. His fourth in the Challow behind The New Lion is strong form, and I’m convinced a left-handed flat track will suit.
Recommendation: Regent’s Stroll (w/o Lulamba) – 13/2

2:30 Aintree – Happygolucky (Each-Way)
A past winner of this race off a much higher mark, Happygolucky could roll back the years. He looked back on track when fourth in the Ultima, and he’s now 16lbs better off with the winner. Lightly raced, clearly aimed at this, and has the course form to back it up.
Recommendation: Happygolucky – 12/1 (5 places)

4:00 Aintree – Vanillier & Iroko (Each-Way)
For the big one, I’ve narrowed it to two I want onside.
Vanillier was second in this last year and ran much better than the bare result in the Cross Country at Cheltenham last time—losing significant ground due to a wrong turn. The blinkers have rekindled him and he’s handicapped to go close again.
Iroko is a bit of a wildcard. He’s never gone this far, but connections clearly believe he’ll stay and he's got classy back-form against Inothewayurthinkin. Ground should help, and if he stays, he’ll be bang there.
Recommendations: Vanillier – 14/1 (6 places), Iroko – 10/1 (5 places)

5:35 Aintree – El Cairos (Nap)
I rarely bet in Bumpers, but I’ll make an exception here. El Cairos ran a stormer in the Champion Bumper, travelling like the winner until hitting traffic and still finishing just five lengths down. He has the strongest form in the field and will relish the ground. If he had a pro jockey on board, he’d be shorter—but David Maxwell is experienced in this type of race and has the trust of his team.
Recommendation: El Cairos – 11/2 (Nap)

JV Private Service

Please note I have restarted tracking per the odds & stake advised. This means from March 1st we start from 0 and the trial will be at least 3 months from here.

1:55pm Aintree - Good And Clever (E/W 3p) 0.5 pts e/w @ 33/1
3:05pm Aintree - Strong Leader (Win NAP) 1 pt @ 6/1
5:35pm Aintree - Mossy Fen Road (Win) 1 pt @ 11/2

Grand National Tips:

4:00pm Aintree - Hewick (Win) 1 pt @ 10/1
4:00pm Aintree - Beauport (E/W 6p) 0.5 pts e/w @ 25/1
4:00pm Aintree - Threeunderthrufive (E/W 6p) 0.5 pts e/w @ 33/1

PassMaster - Football Tips

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