Premier League | 20:00 KO
Man City vs Aston Villa
Man City (Home Form):
– Chance of Clean Sheet: 25%
– Both Teams Scoring: 63% likelihood
– Over 2.5 Goals: 3 in 4 matches go over
Aston
Villa (Away Form):
– Chance of Clean Sheet: 25%
– Both Teams Scoring: 50% strike rate
– Over 2.5 Goals: Matches often open – 75% over
Goal Breakdown – City:
– First Half Goals: 56%
– Second Half: 44%
– Late Goals (76–90 min): 22%
– Goals Conceded: Evenly split across both halves
– Late Concessions: 28% in the final 15
Goal Breakdown –
Villa:
– First Half Goals: 37%
– Second Half: 63%
– Goals in Final Quarter Hour: 23%
– Concede More After the Break: 59% of goals
– Final 15 Concessions: Also 28%
xG Overview:
– Man City expected goals: 1.96
– Aston Villa expected goals: 1.28
– Advantage: City carry a 0.68 xG edge, with a solid 63% win record at home, while Villa’s away success rate stands at 44%.
Match Insight
& Prediction:
With Forest’s surprise result at Spurs tightening the top-four race, both clubs come into this clash under pressure to deliver. They’ve been in strong form recently — winning 9 of their last 10 combined — and that should translate into an entertaining contest.
Expect both sides to find the net, and don’t be surprised if it ends all square.
Score Prediction: Man City 2-2 Aston Villa
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