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The Core Idea

The model is built to find races where the numbers clearly point to one horse being much stronger or weaker than the rest.

If a horse looks weak compared to its rivals but still short in the betting → it becomes a Lay bet (we bet against it).

If a horse looks much stronger than the rest and at a fair price → it becomes a Win bet (we back it).

If the gap between horses isn’t clear, the model simply skips the race.

After a week of reflection I think the Gap 12 Lays suit email / manual betting clients far more than the 10 or 7 variants (more volume). I will stick with 12 for emails - less bets, more precise.

Todays win & Lay selections:

WIN Selections
• 14:30 Chep - — Sober Glory

LAY GAP 12 Selections
• 12:53 Muss - — Wen Moon
• 13:53 Muss - — Yermanthere
• 14:25 Muss - — Sayidah New Bay
• 14:30 Chep - — Mattys Getaway
• 15:00 Chep - — Ben Solo
• 16:03 Muss - — Spooky Wooky
• 16:50 Dund - — Georg Zhukov
• 17:00 Kemp - — Huscal

Note: I do not lay over 10.0, bets are fired automatically at 60 seconds pre race and my results are based on this only.