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The Core Idea

The model is built to find races where the numbers clearly point to one horse being much stronger or weaker than the rest.

If a horse looks weak compared to its rivals but still short in the betting → it becomes a Lay bet (we bet against it).

If a horse looks much stronger than the rest and at a fair price → it becomes a Win bet (we back it).

If the gap between horses isn’t clear, the model simply skips the race.

Todays Win & Lay selections:

WIN Selections
• 13:55 Kemp - — Court In A Storm
• 18:15 Newc — Second Fiddle

LAY GAP Selections
I spent time looking at the Gap 7 (sicne that version has all of the bets) and it appears if we remove all handicap races the model is much better.

Handicaps 901 lays and -27

Non-handicaps 264 lays +44.53

So based on this I think it's better if I stick with non handicaps for all 3 variations

For today that leaves:

LAY GAP 7 Selections
• 12:40 Sedge - — Idaho Valley
• 12:55 Kemp - — Fortune Timmy
• 13:05 Ludl - — Granpa Ger
• 13:25 Kemp - — Miami Magic
• 14:30 Kemp - — Dream On Baby
• 17:10 Newc - — Lope Y Linda

LAY GAP 10 Selections
• 12:55 Kemp - — Fortune Timmy
• 13:05 Ludl - — Granpa Ger
• 14:30 Kemp - — Dream On Baby

LAY GAP 12 Selections
• 14:30 Kemp - — Dream On Baby

Note: I do not lay over 10.0, bets are fired automatically at 60 seconds pre race and my results are based on this only.