Bath 17:35 PLANSINA 12/1 1pt win (Inclusive)
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Bath 17:35 

PLANSINA is another class 6 contender which my systems have flagged up.
3 starts ago this horse ran at today’s exact conditions and won. He is now 12lb higher but I’ll go further into why I believe this horse will win today.

His victory 3 starts ago was in the very closing stages, and his speed rating should have been upgraded for that run. Lto he ran in these exact conditions, apart from the ground was on the harder side, and he didn’t wear his usual headgear. 

Today, the headgear is back on, and the ground should be softer which will be better suited. It’s not like he didn’t run well lto, as he came 3rd at 15/2. Today’s price tops that, and despite being 3lbs higher than his last run he has the benefit of two factors mentioned above.

David remains on board, and I believe he can get a good run out of him at this weight.
The danger is TREGONY, who looks a progressive 3yr old, however his breeding suggests he prefers sharper tracks, and this is his first time on a galloping course. This may throw his performance off a tiny bit, and allow us to get that edge on him. 5lb lighter than lto he does look a threat, but at 11/4 I’d rather go with the value in our selection, which you’ll have to dig deeper to find those hidden reasons like I have, which should hopefully help us achieve a better BSP. 

Our selection will likely be held up and do his best running late. It’s interesting the headgear was removed for that one race, and returns on today now at a bigger price; we may have caught on to something here.