Woodward Racing:
Goodwood 14:25 CATURRA 8-1 1pt win (Inclusive)
Goodwood 16:10 ROBASTA 13-2 2pt win (Mainstream)
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Goodwood 14:25
CATURRA
Where do I expect him to run:
I’d like him in behind the leaders today. He is drawn in stall 1, and when drawn low in this race they win 28% of the time, compared to 4.76% in the middle and 9.3% high.
Not a lot of pace on, and a prominent run over 5f looks the play here.
Why the trainer and jockey?
Clive Cox has won the last 2 displays of this race. He is 3/4 at Goodwood with 2yr olds in this class in the last 4 runs.
Adam Kirby has ridden on all 4 starts, and does well at Goodwood.
Why the horse?
Stats look good with this one. Expecting him to like the sharper track based on breeding, and he has won on this ground before. Speed ratings are up there with the best.
Any trends?
He fits almost all trends here, and looks a very good pick at a price.
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Goodwood 16:10
ROBASTA
Where do I expect him to run?
I want this one tracking the leaders today. Plenty of horses around him to aim at, and has a great draw in stall 3 to secure the rail and save ground. It looks a very fast pace and I can’t see the horses making all here.
Why the trainer and jockey?
Both trainer and jockey are in fantastic form, and have brilliant records at this course, which is a rarity at Goodwood. Oisin has ridden this horse once at Newcastle when 2nd.
Trainer and jockey often work together, winning 22.17% of races across 221 runs, with a positive p/l of £25.11.
Why the horse?
This horse scored its best speed rating lto. It was over 6f at the stiff finish of Ascot in a class 3. He chased the leader, made a strong challenge 1f out and kept on well to win. 2 horses from that race have run since, with 1 winning and the other placing.
Any trends?
This horse is having its 2nd start in a handicap. Andrew Balding has a positive p/l with horses having there 2nd start in a handicap, and a 15.38% win rate. This horse fits almost all the trends of this race too.
9/11 run in the last 3 weeks
10/11 had won 0-1 times before
10/11 winners from stalls 7 or lower
8/11 returned 8/1 or shorter
The list goes on.
