Woodward Racing:
Goodwood 13:50 SMART CHAMPION 10-1 1pt win (Inclusive)
Goodwood 15:00 ANOTHER BATT 33-1 0.5pt win (HorsesToNote)
Goodwood 16:10 PASSION AND GLORY 4-1 2pt win (Mainstream)
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Goodwood 13:50
SMART CHAMPION
Where do I expect him to run?
I’m wanting a patient ride here. I can see the pace being very fast, with many front runners here. This horse is often held up, and it’s very likely the instructions will be to hold back.
Why the trainer and jockey?
Simcock doesn’t do badly here, with a 12.38% win rate, and a positive p/l of 29.79. Saffie is onboard for the first time today, and I believe it’s to claim the 5lb, which I’ll get into more later. Despite a lack of experience here Saffie has had 6 rides, winning 2 and placing in 3, with a small positive p/l.
Why the horse?
This horse seems to like Goodwood. It’s previous two runs here have been very good, coming 4th in a class 2 last year, and most recently 3rd in a class 3, running very well and hitting good speed ratings in both.
His is down a lot of weight today. He scored a good speed rating in this class last year at 9st4lb, and is now down to a tiny 7st11lb. That’s a lot of weight off, and a huge speed rating awaits here.
He’s proven himself in this class with some good runs, and I’m excited to see him run here today.
Any trends?
He fits most trends here.
12/19 were 4-5 years olds, and at 6yrs old we don’t fit that category. These figures don’t show a p/l however, and it’s likely the younger horses have a better chance of winning here anyway, so that stat doesn’t put me off.
10/19 returned 9/1 or shorter, with a small bit of support I can see us going off around 9/1.
12/19 carried more than 9st, and we weight a tiny amount today.
Goodwood 15:00
ANOTHER BATT
How do I expect him to run today?
It’s looks a strong pace yet again, and I’m wanting a patient ride. This horse likes coming off a quick pace, and with a possible pace collapse it looks very likely.
Why the trainer and jockey?
Jason Hart doesn’t often ride for T D Barron, with only 8 rides together in the past year, however when they do team up, they do very well, winning 3 and placing on 5 occasions.
Jason Hart does well here, with a positive p/l over 5 years, 24.38, and a 15.79% strike rate across 19 rides. T D Barron is less so with 12 rides in the last 5 years, and only managing a place. He is in really good form of current however with a 27.78% strike rate in the past 14 days.
Why the horse?
The speed ratings talk for themselves here. Scored top of the charts when at Thirsk 3 starts ago in this class, running on well over 7f in 1st place at 8st10. He then followed that up 2 races ago at Chester, when 5th. He didn’t get a clear run that day, and carried 9st4.
He is back down to 8st13lb today, and over the mile I expect a real good effort here in the same class. The only bad thing here is the wide draw in 16, but with a good ride Jason can position him right to charge through late on.
Any trends?
This horse fits most trends here, all the major ones anyway. 11/19 4-5 year olds but again that’s no concern when they are more likely to win. 9/19 unplaced favorites helps us out too.
Goodwood 16:10
PASSION AND GLORY
Where do I expect him to run?
I want this one in behind the likely leader OUTBOX. He doesn’t have the quality we do, and as a very lightly raced 5yr old we hav improvement likely. It looks a slow pace and that stalking spot will be vital. We are drawn wide too, and Oisin will know he has to get over into a good position.
Why the trainer and jockey?
These two work well together winning 21.43% of races across 42 runs. Oisin is a master at this course, whilst S Bin Suroor is in huge form (26.67% in the last 14 days).
Why the horse?
This horse has been on fire since gelded 2 starts ago. He ran on the A/W in a class 3 winning impressively. He then ran at Ascot, when repeating another solid performance, which lives near the top of the speed ratings. A very lightly raced 5yr old with progressions more than likely.
Any trends?
We fit all the important trends bar:
10/11 didn’t win lto. We did manage to win lto, but all the major players in this race lack a vital trend, so it looks to be all evened out. We fit the:
9/11 rated between 110-114 trend, which only us and two others do, who are priced at 16-1 and 8-1. Big chance.