Woodward Racing:
Ripon 15:42 PAWS FOR THOUGHT 4/1 1pt win (Inclusive) (bet365)
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How Do I Expect Him To Run Today?
I’m wanting a run in behind the leaders from this one today. A few will likely challenge for the lead, so a stalking ride is where I see this horse running. The jockey has done so the last 2 rides since being appointed so it’s very likely we will get the ride I’m expecting.
Why The Trainer And Jockey?
The jockey has rode the past twice as mentioned and has ridden well, finishing 2.7l behind the winner on her first ride on board in a class 2. She is in good form in these past 30 days (7 wins from 30, 23.33% strike rate) and has won 1 race from 4 at this course in the past year.
The trainer is in even better from, with 17 wins from 69 runs in the last 30 days, and a huge 29 places, 42.03%). An impressive 58.33% place rate at this course in the past year, winning 33.33% of those across 12 races.
Why The Horse?
This horse is taking a drop in class today. It ran over 7f at Chester on the sharp 2 starts ago under today’s rider, before being headed inside the final furlong and weakening. The drop
down to 6f is a huge positive today, along with the step down in class. He rides at the same weight today (9st4lb) and with a similar ride should have no trouble winning.
We won competing on the sharp over 6f in this class despite it being on softer ground. The slightly firmer ground today will be on issue, and that run was off a 193 day break too. 9st was the weight that day, so a tiny 4lb increase when running fresh and with more experience will prove massive today.
His last run can be excused after stumbling the start, and running on the Hamilton stiff finish, which again proved too much of a stamina test.
