Woodward Racing:

Newmarket 14:50 VALUE THEORY 4/1 2pt win (Mainstream)

————————————————————

Newmarket 14:50
VALUE THEORY

Where Do I Expect This Horse To Run?
A gate to wire ride is want I’m expecting. Johnston runners often like to dominate from the front, and here should be no different when serving left at the start of his last race, which he then recovered to make all.

MAJESTIC GLORY is likely to be close up, but I think we’ll get the edge in front, of which 19.19% win, with a £127.78 p/l from a £1 stake..

Why The Trainer And Jockey?
Mark Johnston has a good record here, winning 16.05% of races across 486 runs in the last 5 years. He does well here with 2yr olds, and has employed his trusty jockey in Franny Norton.

Why The Horse?
This horse scored a joint top speed rating on just his second start. That was at C+D and on today’s going.

He is upped in class today, but looks a progressive type. I think he’ll handle this raise in class today with no issues from the front.

Any trends?
15/18 returned 11/2 or shorter:
That leaves just 3 horses…
15/18 won just once previously:
This goes against the fav, who has won twice, and the 4th fav at 7/1, who has never won.
10/18 raced at Newmarket lto
Again, goes against the fav, and the 3rd fav too.
Mark Johnston has won 3 of the last 7 runnings