🏇 Grand National 2025 – Who Fits the Trends?
We've reviewed every runner in the 2025 Grand National against the most important trends, including weight, age, stamina, recent form, and headgear.
Here’s who comes out on top for this year’s Aintree test...
📈 Key Stats & Trends (Past 33 Runnings)
29/33 had won over 3 miles+
31/33 ran within 55 days of the race
25/33 carried 10-13 or less
26/33 were aged 9 or older (but 5 of last 9 were 8)
19/33 were Irish-bred
13/33 trained in Ireland (6 of last 8 winners 🇮🇪)
5 of the last 7 wore a tongue-tie
14 of last 16 were having their first run in the Grand National
🔥 Bonus Stat:
Since 2016, 6
of the last 7 winners were priced 14/1 or shorter and came from the top 8 in the betting.
✅ Top 4 Trend Picks for 2025
🟩 Minella Cocooner (NAP)
Age 9 · 11-2 · Trained by W. Mullins
Ticks every box:
✅ Won over 3m4f
✅ Races up with pace
✅ Irish-trained
✅ Recent run
✅
Tongue-tie
✅ First time in Grand National
✅ Carries under 11-6
✅ In top 8 in the betting
“The best profile in the field. Big win at Sandown. Perfect Mullins prep.”
🟩 Perceval Legallois
Age 8 · 10-12 · Trained by G. Cromwell
Won big 3m handicap this season
Stamina locked in
Lightly raced, progressive
Irish-trained, great prep run
Should be in the first 10 in market
“Up-and-coming stayer with a very strong profile. Ideal weight.”
🟩 Stumptown
Age 8 · 11-2 · Trained by G. Cromwell
Cross-country specialist — won
over 3m5f
Races prominently
Comes into this in form
Irish trainer again (Cromwell’s flying)
“Ideal Aintree type. Stays all day. Versatile and improving.”
🟩 Vanillier
Age 10 · 10-6 · Trained by G. Cromwell
2nd in this race last
year
Light weight this time
Irish-trained
Ran recently
Proven over course and trip
“Rare returning runner who has the course nailed. Big finish expected.”
⚠️ Contenders with One or Two Trend Risks
I Am Maximus – Defending champ, but carries 11-12 and missed
final prep race
Intense Raffles – 7yo, Irish National winner, promising but young
Iroko – Also 7, stamina untested at this trip, but classy
❌ Runners the Trends Don’t Like
Celebre d'Allen – 13yo, no winner aged 13+ since 1923
Minella Indo – Age 12, carrying 11-3
Royale Pagaille – 11-9, out of form
Conflated – Patchy form, stamina doubts
Bravemansgame – Classy, but never won beyond 3m
💰 Where the Winners Come From
✅ Top 8 in the Betting – 13 of last 21
✅ 14/1 or shorter – 6 of last 7
✅ Ran within 40 days – 25 of last 33
✅
Stamina proven – 29 of last 33
