Todays tips below:
Barney Rubbles – 7.05 Gowran Park – 7F Handicap – 40/1 Ladbrokes, Coral, Paddy Power – 5 Places – BOG – 1.5 Points each
way – LVP 16/1.
Barney Rubbles has only run four times in his life, so is very unexposed. He started life last season with Michael Mulvany for two runs where he showed his inexperience on debut blowing the start losing 25 lengths and trailing
home.
On his second run, they stepped him up to 1 mile, and was allowed to come out last, race in the rear, and was never dangerous.
The owners moved him this season to James McAuley, where he showed promise on his seasonal debut, over 7F where he was tenderly ridden but still made headway from last to run nicely into midfield, postmarking 53.
On his latest start, again in a maiden connections brought him back to 6f, which was a strange move as he was inconvenienced by the shorter trip. They again allowed him to pop out in the rear but this time he was more aggressively ridden and came under the whip running on but not having the pace to get involved. However, he did postmark a nice 63 and would have learned a lot from this racing experience.
Today Barney Rubbles makes his handicap debut and looks very interesting indeed. Most importantly he is stepped up to a more suitable 7F and gets a lovely draw in stall 1 which is a big advantage at Gowran Park.
What stands out for me is his opening handicap mark of just 56. The handicapper has given him a huge chance considering he ran to 63 last time and is bound to improve for the longer trip.
James
McAuley gets his fair share of winners (7%), and Shane Foley is an eye-catching booking for the yard, as Shane is their main strike jockey.
It’s a big field so we will need our fair share of luck in running, but everything looks in line for a step forward today, and I’m expecting
Foley to make a better start on Barney Rubbles being at least in midfield and maybe even tracking the pace.
The market has him priced up completely wrong at 40/1 with 5 places and BOG available, we, therefore, have to get involved and I’m recommending 1.5 points each
way.
He is still value at 16/1.
Oriental Beauty –
6.40 Ffos Las – 40/1 Ladbrokes, Coral, 888 – BOG -2 Places – 1 Point each way. – LVP 20/1
This six-runner three-year-old maiden handicap looks full of fairly disappointing sorts who have already had a few chances in handicaps and not progressed, and with many coming
from big yards I wouldn’t be surprised to see most of these being sold on in the future.
The 7/4 favourite Albion Princess, trained by Roger Charlton, disappointed when last seen for his seasonal handicap debut, after being well backed he finished a well-beaten 4th of
7, and whilst he could take a step forward, the price is rather off-putting and does sum up the nature of the race.
Consequently, I think it’s worth chancing the 40/1 outsider Oriental Beauty who herself was disappointing for her Arab connections last year, seeing her
bought for 52000 guineas but sold on for just 1000 after six runs over 1 mile.
Last year, her form regressed as the season went on, but she still managed to postmark a high of 70 when 3rd in a fair maiden.
Adrian Wintle bought her incredibly cheaply and may end up getting a real bargain, as she has raced twice this year. Looking to need her first run, but then improving on her next and latest start to stay on nicely over 1 mile, postmarking 54.
That run suggested she is well worth a try over 1m 2F,m with her breeding backing this up.
Running off a reduced mark of 53 with the
stable best strike apprentice, Tyler Heard in the saddle, she looks overpriced for her chances, and I recommend a 1-point each-way play.
She is still value at 20/1.
Magnificence – 7.25 Kempton – 7F Handicap – 20/1 Paddy Power, Coral – 4 places – Bet365 (best priced 33/1) – BOG – 1 Point each way – LVP 14/1
Magnificence cost 210,000 Guineas, but was not an Arab purchase, so connections clearly liked what they saw.
She made an immediate impact on her debut running over today’s course and distance to stay on for a good 2nd place, postmarking
72.
After not getting a clear run next time out (but still running creditably), and then running down the field for her final maiden, she entered handicaps off 72 and surprised the market by winning at whooping odds of 125/1 over 7F on soft ground at Redcar.
She has subsequently run well twice at Listed level, including at Kempton where she postmarked 87 & 89. She was highly tried but you can see connections were hoping for some black type to help boost her value as a broodmare.
Today she takes a big down in class to a Class 4 (0-85) handicap and looks to have every chance off a mark of 83, especially at Kempton where she has already acted so well.
Consequently, I am happy to recommend 1 point each way at 20/1 with four places and BOG available with Paddy Power and Coral. Bet365 offers the best price of 33/1.
She is till value at
14/1